St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers NL Wild Card Pick – October 6, 2021

The Major League League Wild Card begins on Tuesday night at Fenway Park with a rivalry game between the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox. After it was all said and done, the Yankees and Red Sox both made the postseason.

The Yankees edged out the Rays for a 1-0 win on Sunday afternoon to clinch their spot in the postseason. Meanwhile, the Red Sox came from behind to down the Washington Nationals by a score of 7-5. They were fortunate to end this season with a series versus a losing team not going to the postseason.

It might have been a different finale to the regular season if the Red Sox had to deal with a better team. The Rays clinched the AL East easily to skip the Wild Card. In the National League, the LA Dodgers had to settle for a wildcard after finishing with a record of 106-56. They had the second-best record in the majors, but the San Francisco Giants did a game better than the Dodgers.

The Dodgers finished the season with a three-game sweep of the Milwaukee Brewers, along with a seven-game winning streak. Their loss against the Arizona Diamondbacks on September 25 was an absolute killer to their NL West bid. In any case, all the Dodgers have to do is beat the Cardinals on Wednesday night. Sounds easy, right?

The Cardinals have been one of the hottest teams in baseball through the second-half. They rode a red-hot streak to a record of 90-72 and the postseason. After a sluggish start, the Cardinals were one of the better teams in the majors with a record of 46-26 since the All-Star break.

For the Wild Card at Dodger Stadium, we have a matchup of two seasoned veterans on the bump. There are some exciting young pitchers in the majors these days, but this isn’t a matchup of young guns.

40-year-old Adam Wainwright, who recently signed a new one-year deal to stay with the Cards, will take on 37-year-old Max Scherzer. Wainwright has been able to fend off injuries over the last six years to have another chance in the postseason.

Scherzer is looking for his second World Series in three years after winning as a National two years ago. Head below for our free Cardinals vs. Dodgers Wild Card pick on October 6, 2021.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 (-113) +201 Over 7.5 (-110)
LA Dodgers -1.5 (-107) -222 Under 7.5 (-110)
Team Data St. Louis Cardinals LA Dodgers
Overall Record 90-72 106-56
Away/Home Record 45-36 58-23
Batting Average .239 .241
Batting Average Away/Home .242 .242
Runs Per 9 4.51 5.25
Team ERA 4.00 3.03
Team ERA Away/Home 4.32 3.00

Cardinals vs. Dodgers Prediction:

For the Cardinals they can go into Dodger Stadium with zero pressure. The way I see it they’re playing with house money in this spot. No one is expecting them to win, while pressure is mounting on the Dodgers not to fail in the Wild Card.

The Dodgers are the defending champs, but they’re still trying to prove that they are fully capable of winning a full season as well. Without a 162-game championship, I think something would still be missing from their legacy from this era. Max Scherzer will be leaned on to get the Dodgers to the NLDS.

Scherzer has been in productive form this season, as he carries an ERA of 2.46 and a 0.86 WHIP into Wednesday. However, his recent work hasn’t been the most promising. Scherzer was tagged for 6 hits and 5 earned runs against the Colorado Rockies, and then he allowed 11 hits and 6 runs in his regular season finale against the Padres.

In his last three starts in the 2021 regular season, Scherzer posted a 5.82 ERA and 1.21 WHIP through 34 innings of work. No surprise if he bounces back in the postseason, though. The Cards have struggled mightily against Scherzer with a .130 batting average and 1 home run in 145 at-bats. He’s had 22 strikeouts in his last two starts against the Cards.

St. Louis hasn’t scored on Scherzer in more than 14 innings. Note that the Dodgers have gone 40-13 since trading for Scherzer and Trea Turner. Scherzer has posted an ERA of 1.98 and a 0.82 WHIP with the Dodgers in 11 games.


St. Louis Cardinals vs. LA Dodgers Betting Trends:

Cardinals

  • Record (Last 10): 7-3
  • 17-3 overall in their previous 20 games
  • 11-0 overall in their previous 11 games on the road
  • 3-7 overall in their previous ten games versus the Dodgers
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games at Dodger Stadium
  • UNDER is 4-1 in their previous five games
  • Adam Wainwright ERA (Last 3): 5.06

Dodgers

  • Record (Last 10): 8-2
  • 7-0 overall in their previous seven games
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five postseason games at Dodger Stadium
  • 7-2 overall in their previous nine games as a postseason favorite at Dodger Stadium
  • 40-13 overall in their previous 53 games at Dodger Stadium
  • UNDER is 12-1 in their previous 13 games after a day off
  • UNDER is 7-2 in their previous nine games versus the Cardinals at Dodger Stadium
  • Max Scherzer ERA (Last 3): 5.82

The Dodgers had the best pitching staff in the majors, as they held teams to a .207 batting average and 3.48 runs per 9 innings. Their bullpen has played a big role in accomplishing that, as they’re second in the majors with a 3.16 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Scherzer should bounce back after skidding to end the regular season, and the Dodgers’ bullpen should be productive.

Adam Wainwright is going into Wednesday evening with an ERA of 3.05 and a 1.06 WHIP across 207 innings. He didn’t have problems pitching on the road where Wainwright posted an ERA of 3.58 and a 1.14 WHIP. The Dodgers have recorded 1 home run and 7 RBIs versus Wainwright in 81 at-bats.

He finished off the season with a 6-2 win against the Brewers on September 28. That was the ninth time in his final eleven games that Wainwright conceded 2 or less earned runs. Since July 21, Wainwright gave up more than 3 earned runs only twice in 15 attempts. The Cards’ bullpen has been adequate with an ERA of 3.97 and a 1.31 WHIP in 2021 as well.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see a close one with Wainwright and Scherzer both delivering clutch performances. In his last postseason, Scherzer had an ERA of 2.40 through six games with the Nats in 2019. Wainwright had a 1.62 ERA in the 2019 postseason across 18.1 innings. He appeared in just 4 innings last year with a 5.40 ERA.

The Dodgers likely pull this one out, but that’s too much juice for me to drink. In a 4-2 or 3-2 finale, I’m going to point towards the UNDER in the National League Wild Card.

MORE FREE SPORTS BETTING PICKS!

Cardinals vs. Dodgers Pick
UNDER 7.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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