St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick – Wild Card Game 2 October 1, 2020

Probable Starters:

    Adam Wainwright (5-3, 3.15 ERA) vs. Zach Davies (7-4, 2.73 ERA)

The St. Louis Cardinals and San Diego Padres will play one or two more games in the Wild Card. The Padres need a win to force a Game 3, or the Cardinals win and move on to the next round. This is the first time that the Padres have been in the postseason in 14 years. Their return to the playoffs didn’t go too well, as they suffered a 7-4 loss on Wednesday.

Chris Paddack got the ball in Game 1 after struggling during the regular season. The postseason made no difference, as Paddack struggled to get his command under control. The Cardinals took advantage of his mistakes at a tune of 8 hits and 6 runs through 2.1 innings.

Many were not expecting to see Paddack get the start in Game 1, but he got the call anyway and the Padres were burned for it. The absence of Mike Clevinger and Dinelson Lamet severely changed things up for the Padres, though. With Clevinger and Lamet out, the Padres were forced to make a decision between Paddack and Zach Davies.

It’s just bad luck for the Padres, as they had a really nice looking rotation postseason before injuries to Clevinger and Lamet. Not much the Padres could have done about that. They had their offense working against Kwang-hyun Kim, with 5 hits and 3 earned runs through 3.2 innings of ball. With Paddack getting rocked, they stood no chance, though.

Davies will be counted on to help the Padres force a third and decisive game. He’s been their best hurler, and one of the more underrated pitchers in all of Major League Baseball. Signing him was a terrific move by the Padres, and he might be the key to getting this series to a third game. Wily veteran, Adam Wainwright, who is having a resurgence of sorts, is scheduled to get the call for the Cardinals. Head below for our free St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres pick for October 1, 2020.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres Game 2 Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Cardinals +1.5 (-147)
  • Padres -1.5 (+127)
Moneyline:

  • Cardinals (+140)
  • Padres (-152)
Total:

  • Over 8.5 (-110)
  • Under 8.5 (-110)

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St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres Prediction:

What a season it has been for Adam Wainwright. With his back against the wall as a result of injuries the last few years, the 39-year-old is having his best campaign since 2014. He suffered a serious injury in 2015 and that set his career back. However, Wainwright has been in great form in 2020. You have to tip your cap to the veteran.

He posted an ERA of 3.15 and 1.05 WHIP through 65.2 innings of work this season. Wainwright conceded more than 3 earned runs in only one start this season. That said, he’s given up 3 earned runs in three of his previous four showings, so has slowed down a bit. In his previous three starts, Wainwright has recorded a 3.72 and 1.14 WHIP.

The Padres are hitting .264 with a .310 OBP versus Wainwright through 62 at-bats. They’ve connected for 3 home runs and 9 RBI during that time. Wil Myers, Jurickson Profar, and Manny Machado have all taken Wainwright deep before. I can see the Padres’ offense showing up in their biggest game of the season. They finished the regular season with the fourth best offense in the majors.

I have really liked what I’ve seen from Zach Davies this season. He can be the difference maker in Game 2. Davies has been a consistent producer, with an ERA of 2.73 and 1.07 WHIP through 12 games and 69.1 innings on the hill. He is coming off a 6-2 win over the San Francisco Giants in a brief tune up outing across 3 innings.

Like Wainwright, Davies has regressed slightly recently, with an ERA of 3.72 and 1.14 WHIP. I had this series going three games before it started, and I’m going to stick with my guns and put confidence in Davies getting the job done on Thursday. As far as the offense is concerned, all it can take is one good inning for their bats to catch fire. I like Padres to extend this series to a third game.

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.