St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays Pick – MLB July 26, 2022

The St. Louis Cardinals head north to Toronto for a two-game series against the Blue Jays. There will be two notable absentees at the Rogers Centre over the next two days. Two of the Cardinals’ biggest bats will not be in Toronto.

As a result of no Covid-19 vaccination, Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado will not be permitted to enter the country. The St. Louis lineup isn’t all that bad without Goldy and Arenado, but that’s their best bats that won’t be playing.

Toronto didn’t just beat the Red Sox, they obliterated them by 30 runs in a three-game series. The beatdown of the year and decade was a 28-5 win on Friday night. That was embarrassing on the Red Sox part, but what an effort from the Jays.

Instead of slowing down, the Blue Jays followed up with a 4-1 and 8-4 win. In their latest attempt, Ross Stripling looked fine with 5 hits and 2 earned runs across 4 innings. The offense really helped him out against Brayan Bello.

Bello was tagged for 9 hits and 5 earned runs in 4 innings of play.

The Blue Jays were slow to finish the first half of the season, but they’ve come out of the blocks exploding after the All-Star Game. They were getting out of touch in the AL East for a minute there, so this is a nice response from them.

Toronto is 53-43 and the closest club to the Yankees in the AL East. That’s not saying too much, though. The Jays are 12.5 games behind the Yankees, so it’s still a comfortable gap despite playing in second right now.

The Cardinals are coming off a bad 6-3 loss to the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday afternoon. That was a poor effort in a winnable game. They lost two of three games to the Reds, something they can’t be doing versus inferior opponents to win the NL Central over the Brewers.

St. Louis goes into Toronto down by two games to the Brewers in the division at 51-46. Andre Pallante will look to get the Cards closer tonight. Jose Berrios is scheduled to go for the Blue Jays. Head below for our free Cardinals vs. Blue Jays prediction on July 26, 2022.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 (-110) +180 Over 9 (-110)
Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-110) -220 Under 9 (-110)
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Team Data St. Louis Cardinals Toronto Blue Jays
Overall Record 51-46 53-43
Away/Home Record 22-26 30-19
Batting Average .248 .264
Batting Average Away/Home .245 .272
Runs Per 9 4.68 4.98
Team ERA 4.37 5.04
Team ERA Away/Home 4.26 4.21

Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Prediction:

There haven’t been too many bad things to say about Andre Pallante until recently. The rookie was rolling along since being moved from the bullpen to the rotation. He was pitching too well to have in the bullpen, so Pallante received a promotion with a spot open.

In 25 appearances, seven starts, Pallante has recorded an ERA of 3.34 and a 1.46 WHIP.

These numbers look good for a rookie hurler, though he’s been trending in the wrong direction since owning a 1.69 ERA on June 19. Through his last three starts, Pallante has suffered an 8.16 ERA and 2.02 WHIP.

It’s finally catching up to Pallante. He was putting runners on earlier in the season, but was finding ways to get out of tricky spots. However, Pallante hasn’t been so fortunate recently.

During this three-game stretch, Pallante has yielded 13 earned runs and 25 hits. Now he’s at Rogers Centre against a Blue Jays squad feeling it at the plate.

The Jays might be the streakiest offense in the major leagues.

When they are on they’re on full blast. Even without the 28 runs scored, the offense played well against the Red Sox over the weekend. Toronto is first in the majors with a team batting average of .267. They have scored 4.94 runs per 9 innings for third.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games versus the AL on the road
  • 2-6 overall in their previous eight games on the road
  • 0-7 overall in their previous seven games after a day off
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games after conceding 5 or more runs
  • UNDER is 5-0 in their previous five games at Toronto

Blue Jays

  • Record (Last 10): 8-2
  • 5-0 overall in their previous five games after a win
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games at home
  • 8-1 overall in their previous nine games versus a right-handed starter at home
  • 16-5 overall in their previous 21 games versus the National League at home
  • 4-0 overall in their previous four games versus a starter with a WHIP worse than 1.30

  • Jose Berrios hasn’t been at his best this season, but the Blue Jays are confident that he will show improvement. Berrios is going into the Rogers Centre with an ERA of 5.22 and a 1.36 WHIP.

    He’s been heating up as of late and has a quality arm at home.

    Berrios has posted an ERA of 2.95 and a 1.04 WHIP in his previous three trips to the mound. He is also perfect at home with a record of 5-0 heading into this start.

    Despite struggling on the road with a 7.15 ERA and 1.55 WHIP on the road, Berrios is dependable at home. He possesses a 3.33 ERA and 1.17 WHIP at the Rogers Centre.

    When the Blue Jays are hot, they typically don’t cool off for a while. They are a streaky team that can go on major tears at the plate. Look for the runs to keep coming against Pallante and the Cards. I favor the Blue Jays on the runline to win by at least 2 runs.


    Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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