Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays – MLB Pick 8-16-20

A wise man once said that in baseball, sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, and sometimes it rains. Yesterday, it rained. Our bet yesterday was rained out when we took the Tampa Bay Rays, and the over eleven runs in their game with the Toronto Blue Jays. Depending on where you booked your action, you may have gotten paid for the Rays win, as they were leading 1-0 when the game was called, but at most books, a game must go at least five full innings to be action, and you likely got a refund.

I hate to lose out on a bet that was seemingly going our way but getting a refund on the total didn’t break my heart, as the game was much lower scoring than I had originally expected. Despite the fact that the teams had combined for ten hits in the game’s first four innings, only one run hit the board, and the over was going to be tough to hit.

They will pick the action back up today where they left off yesterday and finish the game out for the full nine innings. But since the game was delayed, we won’t have any action on it. They will follow up the makeup game with a 7-inning game two, and that is where we will focus for today’s daily betting pick.

Tampa Bay Rays (12-9) at Toronto Blue Jays (7-9)

The Toronto Blue Jays are hoping that the rain delay yesterday won’t cool them down at the plate, as they had scored a whopping twenty-eight runs in their first three “home” games in their new home away from home stadium in Buffalo. The Jays will host the Rays today in a double-dip, first finishing up last night’s business, before turning to today’s 7-inning game.

For Tampa Bay, the Rays were leading last night before the game was called, and they are hoping to finish off the game with the win and follow that up with the series win in game two. The Rays had won eight out of their last ten games, including six straight, before dropping game one of this series against the Blue Jays.

Starting today for the Blue Jays is Matt Shoemaker (0-1 4.86 ERA), and for the Rays, it is Yonny Chirinos (0-0 1.04 ERA). The game total over/under is set at seven and a half runs. The Rays are -115 road favorites. First pitch is scheduled for 1:07 PM PST from Sahlen Field in Buffalo.

Spread:

  • Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 (-162)
  • Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+135)
Money Line:

  • Toronto Blue Jays (+110)
  • Tampa Bay Rays (-115)
  • Total Runs:

    • Over 7.5 (-118)
    • Under 7.5 (-104)

    Tampa Bay Rays

    I mentioned in yesterday’s pick that the Tampa Bay Rays are going to be very hard to beat this year if they can keep finding ways to score runs. After a slow start to the season, Tampa Bay has really turned it on here lately, as they had exploded for 47 runs in their previous five games before last night’s game was called early due to rain.

    And while they had only plated one run in the game before it was delayed, they did manage six hits in the four innings and had runners on base in each inning. So, the run production wasn’t quite there, but that doesn’t mean that this Rays team has cooled down at the plate.

    Yonny Chirinos (0-0 1.04 ERA)

    Yonny Chirinos is a do-everything guy for the Tampa Bay Rays. He starts games as an opener, he starts game as a starter, he will work in long relief, and he will come in late in games to help close things out. He fits in perfectly with this Rays team that loves to use their pitchers in unconventional ways. In his two seasons with Tampa Bay, Chirinos has a career 3.61 ERA and a winning record.

    This year, he has been used exclusively in the starting rotation and has made two starts. Chirinos has pitched well in both outings as he has thrown a combined 8.2 innings and has allowed just one earned run. He has played with fire a bit, though, as he has given up nine hits and four walks in those games and has to find a way to keep runners off the bases today against this powerful Jays team.

    Toronto Blue Jays

    Wins have been hard to come by so far this year for the Blue Jays as they are just 7-9 on the season, which puts them with more wins than only the Boston Red Sox right now in the American League. They were forced to play all of their games on the road as the city of Toronto banned them from playing at home, and it has been tough.

    But things seem to be looking up some lately, as they have finally found a home, their triple-A affiliate ballpark in nearby Buffalo, New York, and they started out their first homestand of the season by winning two out of their first three games. We know how tough road games are this year with all of the travel restrictions, and it has to be hard on the Blue Jays knowing they won’t sleep in their own beds the entire season.

    Matt Shoemaker (0-1 4.86 ERA)

    Matt Shoemaker has shown a lot of promise in his MLB career, he just can’t seem to stay on the field. Shoemaker has not pitched a full season since 2016 and has only made 101 career starts spread across eight seasons. Last year, the Jays brought him in on a free-agent deal, and he looked great before tearing his ACL and ending his season. Last year in five starts for the Jays, Shoemaker was 3-0 with a 1.57 ERA.

    He hasn’t had a great start to this seasons though, as he has an ERA of nearly five runs in three starts. After pitching well in his first start of the season that saw him go six innings and allow just one run against these very same Tampa Bay Rays, he has gotten roughed up in his last two starts. In his last two starts, he has pitched a combined 10.2 innings and has allowed nine runs on nine hits, five of which were home runs.

    Who Do I Like?

    I think the Rays are a very good baseball team. They were on fire before coming to Buffalo for this series and dropping game one, and I think that they will recover and win both of these games today. They just have more established talent on the roster than the Blue Jays do right now, and I see Yonny Chirinos as the better side of the starting pitching matchup as well.

    The Jays were swinging a hot bat recently, but they didn’t score a run in four innings last night, and I think that this Rays elite pitching staff will find a way to shut them down today. Matt Shoemaker can’t keep the ball in the ballpark lately, and that is going to hurt him today, pitching in a stadium that has seen nineteen home runs hit in just three and a half games.

    The Bet

    I’ll lay a little wood and take the Rays in this one. I think that this will be a lower scoring game, and the Rays thrive in tight, low scoring games. The only way the Jays are winning games this year is when they score a bunch of runs, and I just don’t see that happening in this one. Feels like 4-2 Tampa Bay if you ask me. Give me the Tampa Bay Rays as small road favorites tonight in the series finale from Buffalo!

    The Bet: Tampa Bay Rays -115

    My Pick
    Tampa Bay Rays
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    Jason Gray / Author

    Jason is a true Las Vegas insider as he has called the sports betting capital of the world his home for sixteen years. Jason started out his career in gaming by running the biggest poker tournaments in the world and managing some of the biggest sportsbooks on the strip. Jason has transitioned out of casino operations and has been covering sports betting for the sports geek for just over two years. His main focus is on baseball, college basketball, and the NFL