Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves Pick – MLB July 29, 2020

    Charlie Morton (0-1, 13.50 ERA) vs. Mike Soroka (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

The Tampa Bay Rays and Atlanta Braves will head to Truist Park for the second half of this four-game series. The Rays were victorious by 14-5 and 5-2 at the Trop in the first two games. All Tampa needed was one inning to do their damage against the Braves on Tuesday.

Kyle Wright was cruising before he hit a snag and went in the wrong direction. Wright was tagged with 4 hits and 5 earned runs in 2.2 innings. He was unable to get out of the 3rd inning after suffering damage right after the Braves took a 1-0 lead in the top half of the inning.

The Braves fell to 2-3 on the season, while the Rays are on a four-game winning streak. The Rays lost to Ryu and the Blue Jays on Opening Day, but have been able to respond with four straight wins. They are a trendy selection to go deep in the postseason this season, though I’ve been hearing that about the Rays for the last several years. Maybe this is the year that the Rays finally live up to expectations and have a breakout campaign.

Yonny Chirinos went 4 innings for the Rays with 4 hits and no runs conceded. The bullpen gave up just 2 hits from that point. If the Rays get pitching like that from the back of their rotation from Chirinos, then they are going to be in excellent shape. Depth in the starting rotation is a problem for several teams, but that shouldn’t be an issue for the Rays. They have enough talent from their pitching staff to get to the playoffs.

The weakest performance from the Rays’ pitching staff so far has been Charlie Morton, who got the call on Opening Day. Morton took the loss for the Rays, which to date, is the only loss that the Rays have suffered. Morton has been on the docket on Wednesday in the next game of this series versus the Braves.

This will be the home opener for the Braves in 2020 after playing at Citi Field and the Trop to begin the year. Mike Soroka gets the nod in the first start of 2020 in Atlanta. The 22-year-old has quickly cemented himself as the ace of the Braves. Head below for our free Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves pick for July 29, 2020 in MLB.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Baseball Betting Odds:


  • Rays +1.5 (-125)
  • Braves -1.5 (+105)

  • Rays (+109)
  • Braves (-119)
Total Points:

  • Over 8.5 (-115)
  • Under 8.5 (-105)


Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction:

Charlie Morton didn’t get off to a fast start this season. He was rocked pretty good against the Toronto Blue Jays on Opening Day. Morton was chased after allowing 7 hits and 6 earned runs in 4 innings. He left the game with an ERA of 13.50 and 2.00 WHIP. The Blue Jays recorded a .412 OBP against Morton.

That’s not to say Morton is going to continue to struggle. Morton posted an ERA of 3.05 and 1.08 WHIP in 2018 for a career-high. In his previous three seasons, he has notched ERA’s of 3.62, 3.13, and 3.05. He was slightly worse on the road a season ago, with an ERA of 3.59 and 1.23 WHIP, but still very respectable numbers.

The Braves have handled Morton well in the past, though. They’re hitting .282 with a .329 OBP against Morton in 59 at-bats. The biggest weapon in this game for the Braves is going to be Mike Soroka. He is Cy Young material as a 22-year-old. In his rookie campaign, Soroka posted an ERA of 2.68 and 1.11 WHIP.

Leading up to the regular season in 2020, Soroka was strong in spring and summer training with a 3.12 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. He put his game face on in the opener, though, as Soroka held the Mets to just 4 hits and no runs conceded in 6 innings of work. In 13 at-bats against the Rays, they are hitting .100 with 2 hits against Soroka. Soroka at this price looks like a pretty good deal to me at home in Atlanta.


The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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