Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Pick – MLB July 25, 2022

The Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles open a four-game series at Camden Yards on Monday night. The Rays are looking for a better effort after a tough couple of days at Kauffman Stadium.

Tampa looked lazy in a 6-3 and 4-2 loss to the Royals over the weekend. Everything was going well for them on Friday night. The Rays got to the Royals for a 7-3 win, but it was all downhill on Saturday and Sunday.

The Bronx Bombers have the AL Central on lock with a record of 66-31 and 12.5 games over the Toronto Blue Jays. The Rays are in the wildcard race at 52-43. They are a half-game behind the Jays.

With the Yankees sitting pretty in the division, the rest of the AL East is fighting for a wildcard. That may actually include the Orioles. After a ten-game winning streak, the Orioles are around a .500 ball club.

It doesn’t look likely that the O’s are going to the postseason, but they can make it interesting with another big run.

They’re coming off two of three losses to the New York Yankees. They were impressive on Saturday in a 6-3 win over Gerrit Cole, but couldn’t get a hit with RISP yesterday.

Nestor Cortes Jr. was steady with 6 hits and no runs allowed through 6 innings of work. Clarke Schmidt handled the rest of the game in the loss for the O’s, who dipped back under .500.

The Orioles are on the opposite side of a rebuild now. They should be a decently competitive team going into the future. It’s up to the front office to build on this recent momentum and put an even better product on the field for 2023.

The Rays are scheduled to send veteran Corey Kluber to the bump in this one. Baltimore likely counter with first-year Oriole and former National, Austin Voth. Head below for our free Rays vs. Orioles prediction on July 25, 2022.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+115) -130 Over 9 (-115)
Baltimore Orioles +1.5 (-135) +108 Under 9 (-105)
Team Data Tampa Bay Rays Baltimore Orioles
Overall Record 52-43 47-48
Away/Home Record 21-25 26-19
Batting Average .240 .234
Batting Average Away/Home .240 .234
Runs Per 9 4.25 4.26
Team ERA 3.40 3.98
Team ERA Away/Home 3.74 3.46

Rays vs. Orioles Prediction:

Corey Kluber is going into this start with an ERA of 3.73 and a 1.12 WHIP through 94 innings in 2022. He’s equaling his production from last season with the Yankees. Kluber notched an ERA of 3.83 and a 1.34 WHIP in 16 assignments.

Kluber has an ERA of 3.73 and a 1.12 WHIP across 18 starts this season.

He isn’t coming off his best work of the season against the Orioles. In his latest attempt on July 17 at the Trop, Kluber was smacked for 8 hits and 4 earned runs through 6 innings.

Despite Kluber failing to get on track, the bats helped him out against Jordan Lyles. Lyles lasted just 2.2 innings on the hill before getting pulled.

The O’s have a .320 OBP and 17 RBIs against Kluber in 124 at-bats. Rougned Odor is responsible for 3 home runs and Austin Hays 2 home runs.

Baltimore has been in good shape with 4.95 runs per 9 innings on a .259 batting average in their last ten attempts.

It hasn’t been the starting pitching or offense that has been the catalyst, though. The O’s have the most underrated bullpen in the majors. They are fourth with a 3.14 ERA and 1.20 WHIP out of the pen.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 7-3
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games on a Monday
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games on the road
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games versus a team with a losing record
  • 7-3 overall in their previous ten games
  • OVER is 4-0 in their previous four games versus the AL East


  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 9-2 overall in their previous 11 games at home
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games after conceding 5 or more runs
  • 15-6 overall in their previous 21 games after a loss
  • 11-4 overall in their previous 15 games after scoring 2 or fewer runs
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games versus a right-handed starter

  • Austin Voth never figured it out with the Nationals. He spent the first four and a half years of his career in Washington.

    Voth looks much more comfortable and in command with the Orioles.

    He has posted an ERA of 3.42 and a 1.23 WHIP in nine outings with the Orioles. This is a notable improvement after a 10.13 ERA out of the bullpen with the Nats in 19 spots this season.

    Voth came out of the bullpen as a reliever to hold the Rays to 1 hit and no runs through 2.1 innings last week.

    The trade and a chance of scenery has done Voth well. He doesn’t look nearly as bothered on the mound with the O’s and is much more relaxed.

    In a game that should be close in the late stages at Camden Yards, Baltimore on the runline looks like a solid option tonight. A final of 6-5 or 5-4 looks accurate.


    Rays vs. Orioles Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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