Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Pick – MLB July 26, 2022

The Baltimore Orioles put on another impressive display last night at Camden Yards. For the 13th time in 17 games, the Orioles were winners. They rode the hot arm of the bullpen to a 5-1 win.

Austin Voth was fine through 3 innings, but he was getting wobbly in a couple of those innings. Nevertheless, Voth held the Rays to 1 run after getting out of jams in two innings. He handed the ball over to the bullpen in a 1-1 game.

The most underrated bullpen in baseball did it again last night. They shut out the Rays for 6 innings to pace the O’s to a 5-1 win. This unit doesn’t get nearly enough credit as they deserve.

With the win at Camden Yards, the Orioles are back to .500 on the season at 48-48. They may not have enough juice in them to get into the postseason as a wildcard, but the Orioles are one to watch in the coming years.

If the O’s continue to improve, they should be competing for a wildcard in a year or two.

Competing and winning a wildcard are two different things. I can see them missing out next season, but putting a good product on the diamond the following year and beyond. They’ve been stockpiling young talent since trading Manny Machado.

The Rays had the better starter on the mound last night with Corey Kluber, but it didn’t matter with a silent offense. Tampa fell to 52-44 and 13.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East.

This hasn’t been a standout season for the Rays. It has been so-so, with good and bad moments. Lefty Shane McClanahan has been all good for the Rays. He gets the call at Camden Yards tonight. Spenser Watkins counters for the home squad.

Head below for our free Rays vs. Orioles prediction for July 26, 2022.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-115) -195 Over 8 (-105)
Baltimore Orioles +1.5 (-105) +160 Under 8 (-115)
Team Data Tampa Bay Rays Baltimore Orioles
Overall Record 52-44 48-48
Away/Home Record 21-26 27-19
Batting Average .240 .235
Batting Average Away/Home .240 .234
Runs Per 9 4.22 4.27
Team ERA 3.41 3.95
Team ERA Away/Home 3.75 3.40

Rays vs. Orioles Prediction:

The Rays have gotten a big lift from Shane McClanahan on the mound this season. McClanahan is breaking out and the biggest sleeper in the American League Cy Young race.

The media hasn’t been giving McClanahan, but he’s right there at the front as the best pitcher in the American League. McClanahan and Sandy Alcantara are neck and neck at the moment.

McClanahan and Alcantara aren’t allowing either to move an inch in July.

Alcantara has recorded an ERA of 1.81 and a 0.90 WHIP. Those are terrific numbers that deserve a Cy Young. However, if the award was decided today, McClanahan has a slight advantage.

McClanahan is going into this start with an ERA of 1.71 and a 0.80 WHIP. Let’s hope that the All-Star Game didn’t ruin his arm.

The lefty was the worst hurler in the All-Star Game, with 4 hits and 2 earned runs allowed. That said, it could speak to him not wanting to wear out his arm in an exhibition game.

In his previous three starts, McClanahan has posted a 1.40 ERA and 0.62 WHIP.

He’s been good everywhere, but especially good on the road. McClanahan owns a 1.40 ERA and 0.72 WHIP as a visiting pitcher. At home this season, the Orioles have scored an average of 3.24 runs per 9 innings against lefties on .220 hitting.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 1-6 overall in their previous seven games on the road
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games versus a team with a losing record
  • UNDER is 8-3 in their previous 11 games versus a team with a losing record
  • UNDER is 6-2 in their previous eight games on the road
  • UNDER is 5-1 in their previous six games versus a right-handed starter on the road


  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 10-2 overall in their previous 12 games at home
  • 9-3 overall in their previous 12 games after a win
  • UNDER is 3-1-1 in their previous five games versus a left-handed starter at home
  • UNDER is 11-5-2 in their previous 18 games after a win
  • UNDER is 9-4 in their previous 13 games after their opponent concedes 5 or more runs

  • Despite a monster challenge against McClanahan, Spenser Watkins should give the Orioles a solid chance. Watkins has an ERA of 3.93 and a 1.37 WHIP through 12 starts.

    He’s hot with an ERA of 1.53 and a 0.85 WHIP in his previous three attempts.

    Note that Watkins hasn’t allowed more than 1 earned run since May 22. He went on the injury list and hasn’t missed a beat in four starts since returning to the rotation.

    This total looks off the mark. The oddsmakers aren’t respecting McClanahan well enough and Watkins has it all going at the moment.

    At 8 runs, the UNDER looks like the play at Camden Yards between the Rays and Orioles.


    Rays vs. Orioles Pick
    UNDER 8
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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