Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Pick – MLB June 18, 2022

The Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles are at Camden Yards for the second meeting of a three-game series this weekend. Baltimore upset the Rays in a low-scoring 1-0 duel last night. Shane Baz’s 6 innings with just 2 hits allowed wasn’t enough.

Baz struck out seven batters and carried a scoreless game into the 7th inning. That didn’t matter because Orioles’ starter, Dean Kremer, matched Baz with no runs allowed across 6 innings. Adley Rutschman was the only facilitator offensively, with an RBI on 2-for-3 hitting.

That was a game that the Rays probably want to have back. They had a winning opportunity on front of them and couldn’t get a clutch hit.

By the end of the game, the Rays accumulated 8 hits, but couldn’t scratch a run across the late. That’s a tough loss for a Rays team that can’t pass up winnable games in a difficult AL East.

The Rays are 35-29 and third in the AL East and 13 games behind the Yankees for the lead. The Bronx Bombers keep winning and look for real after many years of underachieving with a stacked roster.

It’s all meainginless if the Yankees can’t win in October.

Tampa and the Jays are still hanging on to the AL East, but they’ll likely have to settle for the wildcard race. The Rays are back-to-back divisional winners after a 100-win campaign last year.

This doesn’t look like a threepeat for the Rays, though. It’s not to say they can’t put a solid campaign together for October and get the Yankees that way.

The Orioles rode the hot arm of Kremer last night, but the offense may need to show something more for a winning performance. They can’t depend on the same from Kyle Bradish in this one.

Rookie Kyle Bradish is scheduled to get the start for the Orioles, while Jeffrey Springs gets the nod for the Rays. Head below for our free Rays vs. Orioles prediction on June 18, 2022.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+105) -163 Over 8.5 (+105)
Baltimore Orioles +1.5 (-125) +137 Under 8.5 (-125)
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Team Data Tampa Bay Rays Baltimore Orioles
Overall Record 35-28 28-37
Away/Home Record 14-15 15-15
Batting Average .228 .229
Batting Average Away/Home .228 .226
Runs Per 9 4.17 4.14
Team ERA 3.16 4.34
Team ERA Away/Home 3.57 3.41

Rays vs. Orioles Prediction:

Jeffrey Springs has been one of the most underrated pitchers in the American League this season. He isn’t getting the most attention in Tampa, but certainly deserves to have a spotlight when it’s his turn in the rotation.

In his first season in the rotation, Springs looks the part and has elevated his game nicely. Springs made all 43 appearances in his career out of the bullpen last year. He had his best season with an ERA of 3.43 and a 1.10 WHIP.

The 29-year-old is going into Saturday with an ERA of 1.45 and a 0.91 WHIP.

He’s made a total of 16 appearances with eight starts this year. Since moving to the rotation, Springs has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in six straight performances. He looks comfortable and in control.

Springs has posted an ERA of 1.10 and a 1.10 WHIP in his previous 17 innings.

He’s been rolling through lineups, and it hasn’t mattered at which ballpark. Springs has a 1.80 ERA and 0.88 WHIP across 25 innings of work.

He is going to Camden Yards with an ERA of 1.80 and a 0.88 WHIP in 25 innings on the road.

In his previous two starts, Springs went 11.1 innings with 8 hits and no runs allowed versus the Cardinals and Twins. Note that he’s allowed no runs on the mound in four of his previous six attempts.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 4-6
  • 41-19 overall in their previous 60 games on a Saturday
  • 22-10 overall in thier previous 32 games as a betting favorite on the road
  • 16-3 overall in their previous 19 games versus the Orioles
  • 13-3 overall in their previous 16 games at Baltimore
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games after a win


  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 3-13 overall in their previous 16 games at home versus the Rays
  • 22-61 overall in their previous 83 second game of a series
  • 4-2 overall in their previous six games versus the AL East
  • 5-2 overall in their previous seven games
  • OVER is 7-2 in their previous nine games at home

  • The O’s are 25th in the majors, with a team batting average of .229. They will need more from the offense with Kyle Bradish on the bump.

    Bradish has not held up well, as he’s posted an ERA of 6.86 and a 1.67 WHIP in 42 innings of work.

    The rookie has appeared in nine starts and has a lot to work out before he begins turning a corner. The first season can often be a learning experience, so we’ll see if Bradish can show progress.

    At the moment, though, Bradish doesn’t have good command and is very hittable. In one performance against the Rays in his career, Tampa got to him for 5 hits and 5 earned runs in 5.1 innings on May 21.

    In his previous three attempts, Bradish has notched 5.93 ERA and a 1.98 WHIP. That includes a .415 OBP for his opponents.

    The O’s haven’t figured out how to hit Springs, but nor has anyone else. They are hitting .077 with 1 home run in 36 at-bats versus Springs.

    Tampa should probably be in the -195 range to beat the Orioles tonight. Therefore, the Rays are a decent bet in this one at Camden Yards.


    Rays vs. Orioles Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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