Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Pick – MLB July 6, 2022

The Rays and Red Sox are at Fenway Park for the third and final meeting of this series. After the Red Sox opened with a 4-0 win on Monday, the Rays responded with a heavy dose of offense in an 8-4 win last night.

Austin Davis pitched 2 innings of scoreless baseball, while Kutter Crawford and John Schreiber took care of the rest across 7 innings. The Red Sox allowed just hits between the three hurlers in the win. This contrasted with what happened last night.

NICK PIVETTA HITS A POTHOLE
Pivetta was probably due to having a really bad night. That occurred against the Rays, as he was KO’d for 8 hits and 7 earned runs through 5.2 innings. Tampa scored 3 runs in the 1st and then came back in the 6th for 4 more runs.

Jeffrey Springs didn’t do well, but good enough not to allow the Red Sox to go off and win a high-scoring game. He surrendered 5 hits and 3 earned runs across 4 innings.

The Rays and Red Sox have a lot of work ahead of them if they’re going to catch the Yankees. The Red Sox are second in the AL East with a record of 45-36 and 13 games behind.

Despite 13 games behind, the Red Sox are doing all that they can after a slow start this season.

They went 7-11 through their first 18 games and had just 11 wins on May 10. Boston is 10-5 in their previous 15 games entering tonight.

Catching the Yankees doesn’t look like an easy assignment, but the wildcard race is going to be interesting. The Red Sox are likely to get involved.

Tampa is nearby, with a record of 44-37 and a game behind the Red Sox going into tonight. Veteran Corey Kluber will seek to outpitch a highly promising rookie making his debut at Fenway tonight.

Head below for our free Rays vs. Red Sox prediction on July 6, 2022.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 (-185) +102 Over 9 (-120)
Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+160) -122 Under 9 (+100)
Team Data Tampa Bay Rays Boston Red Sox
Overall Record 44-37 45-36
Away/Home Record 19-20 21-17
Batting Average .236 .258
Batting Average Away/Home .241 .267
Runs Per 9 4.17 4.77
Team ERA 3.32 3.63
Team ERA Away/Home 3.66 3.91

Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction:

Corey Kluber is in his 12th season in the major leagues. He appeared in 16 games with the Yankees last year and was fine with a 3.83 ERA and 1.34 WHIP.

Kluber spent a long time recovering from a broken arm in 2019. His final inning with the Guardians was breaking an arm off a line drive.

He pitched just one game with the Rangers the following season, with his real return last year.

Kluber is doing the same, with a 3.91 ERA and 1.16 WHIP through 76 innings. He hasn’t been as effective on the road, though, and has tailed off recently.

TOUGH SHOWING AT TORONTO
Kluber allowed 7 hits and 5 earned runs in 3 innings of work in a 9-2 loss. Kluber has a 5.65 ERA and 1.33 WHIP on the hill in his previous three starts.

The Red Sox have done well against Kluber in his career. They’re no strangers to the veteran, with 101 at-bats and 14 RBIs. They’ve also hit .267 with 5 home runs for some success.

The run support has been spotty, as the Rays are 23rd with 4.15 runs per 9 innings.

They’re 27th in the majors with a .680 OPS, which will have to improve if the Rays take off and get hot.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Trends:

Rays

  • Record (Last 10): 5-5
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games at Boston
  • 2-5 overall in their previous seven games versus the Red Sox
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games on the road
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games versus a team with a winning record
  • OVER is 5-1 in their previous six games

Red Sox

  • Record (Last 10): 5-5
  • 14-3 overall in their previous 17 games after a loss
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games at home
  • 5-0 overall in their previous five third game of a series
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games versus the Rays at home
  • OVER is 16-4-1 in their previous 21 games versus the Rays at home

  • Brayan Bello will make his much-anticipated debut for the Red Sox tonight. The rookie is the highest-ranked pitcher in the Red Sox system and they’ve eagerly awaited his name to get called up.

    His production in the minor leagues suggests that Bello is ready for the big leagues.

    Bello has a combined ERA of 2.33 and a 1.035 WHIP in ten appearances between Triple and Double-A. It can be hard on a team to have success against a pitcher they’ve never seen before.

    This will likely be especially tough against Bello, a top-rated prospect expected to get off to a fast start in his career. The Rays might get him the next time they see him, but Bello should catch them off-guard tonight.

    Bello has the advantage of playing on a team that should provide him with support. The Red Sox lead the majors with a team average of .262. At Fenway, they’re hitting .267 with 4.93 runs per 9 frames.

    After a sloppy performance last night, the Red Sox should respond with a much better effort. I will sign up for a play on the Red Sox moneyline.

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    Rays vs. Red Sox Pick
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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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