Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers Pick – MLB August 4, 2022

The Tampa Bay Rays are a team that must get hot over the next two months. Catching the New York Yankees is a lost cause, but the wildcard is available for the Rays. They’re currently the last team in with a record of 55-49.

The Rays have a one-game lead on the Cleveland Guardians for the final wildcard in the American League. It’s anyone’s with two months remaining in the regular season. Tampa hasn’t done themselves any favors lately.

TWO WINS IN SIX ATTEMPTS
That’s not a team interested in going to the postseason. The Rays have to wake up and put a solid stretch together. They are coming off a solid win over the Blue Jays, though.

Tampa split two games against the Jays, with a 3-1 loss and a 3-2 win. In their latest outing, they rode the bullpen to a 1-run win. Ryan Yarbrough pitched 4 strong innings, with 1 hit and 1 run.

The offense hasn’t been productive, so they’re going to have to win games with their pitching staff.

The Rays’ pitching is doing everything that they can do to win games. However, the bats aren’t responding too well. Fortunately, their opponent in this four-game series at Comerica Park doesn’t offer the best offense.

GM Al Avila seems to be on borrowed time, as his Detroit Tigers continue to stumble. He’s currently under review after a disappointing first half, and the Tigers just aren’t picking it up.

The Tigers are entering tonight at 42-64 and 14 games behind the Twins in the AL Central. They were expected to be serviceable this year and show improvement. This isn’t happening.

The Tigers are coming off a seven-game road trip, which saw them lose five of seven attempts. The Blue Jays won three of four and then the Twins two of three games.

Veteran Drew Hutchison has the starting job at home tonight. The Rays are countering with fifth-year pitcher Jeffrey Springs. Head below for our free Rays vs. Tigers prediction on August 4, 2022.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-105) -175 Over 8 (-115)
Detroit Tigers +1.5 (-115) +144 Under 8 (-105)
Team Data Tampa Bay Rays Detroit Tigers
Overall Record 55-49 42-64
Away/Home Record 22-28 24-27
Batting Average .238 .226
Batting Average Away/Home .240 .241
Runs Per 9 4.13 3.27
Team ERA 3.43 4.04
Team ERA Away/Home 3.76 3.91

Rays vs. Tigers Prediction:

Drew Hutchison has been in the major leagues since 2012 and is best known for his time with the Blue Jays. That doesn’t mean he was good with the Jays, though. In four seasons, Hutchison never did better than a 4.48 ERA in 2014.

Hutchison has recorded an ERA of 4.93 and a 1.40 WHIP in 124 games in his career.

He’s pretty well been around that mark every season except for an outlier or two. In his first year in the majors since 2018, Hutchison notched an ERA of 2.11 and 1.45 WHIP in 2021. Did you really think that was going to last, though?

REGRESSION TO THE MEAN
Hutchison is back to pretty well where one would expect him to be in his career. He’s going into tonight with an ERA of 4.53 and a 1.39 WHIP.

This is consistent with his overall body of work since opening in 2012. Across his previous three starts, Hutchison has notched an ERA of 5.65 and a 1.47 WHIP.

His effort at home hasn’t been in the best form, with an ERA of 4.97 and a 1.62 WHIP.

The Rays are hitting .219 with just 2.63 runs per 9 innings in their last ten outings. A starter like Hutchison should help the Rays get their swing back at Comerica Park.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers Betting Trends:

Rays

  • Record (Last 10): 3-7
  • 17-8 overall in their previous 25 games on a Thursday
  • 2-0 overall in their previous two games versus the Tigers
  • 4-11 overall in their previous 15 first game of a series
  • UNDER is 6-2 in their previous eight games versus a team with a losing record
  • UNDER is 5-1 in their previous six games on a Thursday

Tigers

  • Record (Last 10): 4-6
  • 3-13 overall in their previous 16 games versus the AL East
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games versus a team with a winning record
  • 4-11 overall in their previous 15 games at home following a road trip 7+ days
  • 1-6 overall in their previous seven games in August.
  • 1-7 overall in their previous eight games versus the AL East

  • Jeffrey Springs goes to the mound with an ERA of 2.70 and a 1.12 WHIP in 21 games. He’s appeared in 21 games, with 13 starts in 2022.

    The lefty was used exclusively in the bullpen last year, with a 3.43 ERA and 1.10 WHIP.

    Springs has allowed more than 3 earned runs in only one of 21 appearances this season. He gave up 4 earned runs to a tough Orioles team on June 18.

    He’s pitching well on the road this season, with a 3.11 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. The Tigers have netted just 2 RBIs vs Springs in 51 at-bats.

    Finishing innings strong is a problem for the Tigers. They’re 30th in the majors with 3.32 runs per 9 innings and a .226 batting average for 27th. The long ball hasn’t been working, either, as the Tigers are 30th with just 0.61 home runs per game.

    The Rays need to get going and can’t afford to lose this series against the Tigers. These are winnable games that they can’t pass up at Comerica Park. Look for the Rays to start off with a winning performance.

    MORE FREE SPORTS BETTING PICKS!

    Rays vs. Tigers Pick
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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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