Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick – August 31, 2020

Probable Starters:

    Tyler Glasnow (1-1, 5.14 ERA) vs. Gerrit Cole (4-1, 3.15 ERA)

The Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees get a three-game series underway at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx on Monday. The Yankees have some catching up to do in the AL East. As a result of multiple injuries, the Rays have taken advantage of the situation to take a 3.5-game lead on the Yankees in the division.

The Yankees did themselves some favors on Sunday, as they doubled up the Mets in a double-header Subway Series clash. They played a total of five games since Friday, with the Yankees winning three out of five after dropping the first two.

The Yankees were in danger of recording their longest losing streak in a quarter century. Following Friday’s double-header, the Yankees were on a seven-game losing streak going into Saturday. It wasn’t the most exciting win to end the skid, but the Yankees were able to get a 2-1 win on a Dellin Betances’ wild pitch in the bottom of the 9th.

Clint Frazier was able to scurry home to score the winning run for the Yanks. They were able to follow up with two more wins to go into Monday on a three-game winning streak. Gary Sanchez who has been struggling mightily this season, might have broken out of his funk with a grand slam in extra innings in the top of the 8th at Citi Field to take a 5-1 lead.

The Mets were able to add a run in the bottom half of the 8th, but that wasn’t enough to overcome the slam by Sanchez. That’s great and all, though the Yankees really need that swing to develop into something much more for him. That was in a pinch hit spot on Sunday. Overall on the season, Sanchez is hitting .134 with 6 home runs.

The Yankees will send out their $324-million man to the hill on Monday. It is Gerrit Cole’s turn in the rotation to give the Yankees a lift. This is a big game and series for the Yankees against the Rays. They can jump right back up into the race and be neck and neck with the Rays. Tyler Glasnow is scheduled to counter for the Rays. Head below for our free Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees pick for August 31, 2020.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Rays +1.5 (-162)
  • Yankees -1.5 (+142)
Moneyline:

  • Rays (+130)
  • Yankees (-141)
Total:

  • Over 8 (+105)
  • Under 8 (-125)

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Tampa Bay Rays vs. NY Yankees Prediction:

The AL East is a two-team race between the Rays and Yankees. The Blue Jays are staying afloat, and are within striking distance at 4.5 games back, but they likely won’t be able to catch up. Tyler Glasnow getting hot in the second half would greatly help the Rays out.

He’s been rather mediocre in 2020. Before Glasnow got injured last season, we were seeing a lot better baseball from him on the bump. Glasnow recorded an ERA of 1.78 and 0.89 WHIP through 12 starts and 60.2 innings.

The former Pirate looked like a steal for the Rays at the time. However, 12 games isn’t enough of a sample size to say whether Glasnow is actually that good. I think he’s good, but maintaining an ERA below 2.00 throughout a full season isn’t easy.

In 45 appearances in 2018, mostly as a reliever, Glasnow posted an ERA of 4.27 and 1.27 WHIP. I will say that the Rays shedding Chris Archer’s salary was a win in itself, though. Getting Glasnow and Austin Meadows from the Bucs was a bonus.

Gasnow heads into Monday with an ERA of 5.14 and 1.36 WHIP through six games and 28 innings. In any event, he had a 7.04 ERA and 1.76 WHIP on August 13, so Glasnow has been able to bring down his ERA in the last two starts, one against the Yanks where he conceded 2 earned runs through 5.2 innings.

In his previous two outings, Glasnow has given up just 4 earned runs across 12.2 innings of work. He’s beginning to turn a corner, and should be able to dice up a banged up Yankee offense. The current Yankee lineup is hitting just .160 with 2 home runs against Glasnow in 44 at-bats. Not having to deal with a fully healthy lineup should help immensely at Yankee Stadium.

The Yankees likely won’t mind a duel in this game with Cole on the hill. Cole, who is an outside Cy Young contender right now, has been fine with a 3.51 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. He’s coming off a porous start versus the Braves in Atlanta. Cole was tagged for 5 earned runs through 5 innings. Cole has been much better at home, where he owns a 1.83 ERA and 0.86 WHIP through 19.2 frames.

Cole has held the Rays in check before for a .195 batting average and .223 OBP. Wilson Ramos has done the most damage with 2 long balls and a .267 average against Cole in 15 at-bats. With Glasnow heading in the right direction at the moment, and Cole in a bounce back spot after an iffy performance on the road, look for this one to result in a 4-3 or 3-2 final score.

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.