Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Pick – MLB April 4, 2021

The Texas Rangers and Kansas City Royals will meet for the final time in this three-game series. The Royals are going for a sweep after a 14-10 and 11-4 win. Their offense has come to play to open the season. Texas must be a bit shellshocked at the runs that the Royals have been piling up. I don’t think it’s any surprise that an underrated offense like the Royals is having their way against a bad Rangers’ rotation.

With the rotation that the Rangers have, they better get used to the opposition scoring at a rapid pace. Kyle Gibson received the Opening Day nod and couldn’t make it out of the 1st inning. In fact, Gibson failed to record two outs. The Royals got to Gibson for 4 hits and 5 earned runs, sending him packing off the hill quickly.

The barrage of runs kept coming for the Royals, as they ended with 14 in a 14-10 win. The Royals kept coming at the plate on Saturday. This time the Royals mostly took care of the bullpen, with the Texas’ pen conceding 8 earned runs in a 11-4 loss. This is a team largely going under the radar in the AL Central.

There is some talent in the lineup to like on the Royals. Whit Merrifield is a tremendous leadoff hitter, and then the Royals added some pop in the offseason with the signing of Carlos Santana. If Salvador Perez stays healthy, the Royals are likely going to be a dark horse in the AL Central. It’s early, but it’s weird to see the Detroit Tigers and Royals sitting atop the division at the moment.

The Tigers are off to a fast start with two straight wins against the Cleveland Indians. Meanwhile, the Royals have been hot at the plate and will look for a three-game sweep against the Rangers this afternoon. Sophomore Brady Singer is expected to get the starting nod for the Royals. Along with Perez staying healthy, it’s going to be important that Singer continues to develop in his second-year. I can see it happening.

Jordan Lyles is fortunate to be in a starting rotation after the disaster that unfolded last year, but if there’s one rotation he has the best chance of sticking in, it has to be the Rangers. This rotation has no depth, so Lyles benefits from being a member of the Rangers in Arlington. Singer and Lyles will both get their opening starts of the season on Sunday. Head below for our free Rangers vs. Royals pick on April 4, 2021.

Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Odds:


  • Rangers +1.5 ( -125)
  • Royals -1.5 (+105)

  • Rangers +155
  • Royals -168

  • Over 9.5 (-120)
  • Under 9.5 (+100)


Rangers vs. Royals Prediction:

The Rangers need Jordan Lyles to show some form of response this year after getting KO’d during the shortened season in 2020. Lyles did not look like a pitcher that belonged in the major leagues. On any other team with depth in their rotation, Lyles likely would have been down in the minors.

Lyles posted an ERA of 7.02 and 1.56 WHIP through 57.2 innings. He made nine starts and twelve appearances out of the bullpen, with a trip to the bullpen failing to help much. Lyles needed a trip down to the minors to work on his delivery, but a 60-game season, and the depthless Rangers’ rotation helped keep him around.

Teams were hitting well against Lyles with a batting average of .285. Overall in his career, which started back in 2011 with the Houston Astros, Lyles has recorded an ERA of 5.22 and 1.44 WHIP in his career. He’s failed to finish with an ERA below the 4.00 mark every season. Don’t count on Lyles somehow figuring it out in 2021.

The Royals should be able to stay hot at the plate on Sunday afternoon. They enjoy the pitching edge in this matchup with Brady Singer on the bump for the Royals. I’m high on Singer and expect a lot out of him this season. Singer was effective as a rookie on the mound, and he’s open to even more improvement in his next two years.

He recorded an ERA of 4.06 and 1.17 WHIP through 12 starts. The 24-year-old Florida Gator allowed 1 or no earned runs in his final three of four outings of last year. Singer gave up 3 earned runs or fewer in six of his previous seven performances.

His success late in the season carried on in spring training. He was strong with an ERA of 2.65 and 1.00 WHIP. Opponents hit just .203 against Singer through 17 innings of work. He looked much more comfortable than a rookie in spring training, where he posted an ERA of 4.76 and 1.94 WHIP.

I don’t think it’s a mistake that we’ve seen the Royals get off to this hot start. I like what they did in the offseason, and they could surprise a few people in the AL Central. The Rangers have some of the worst odds in the major leagues to win the World Series and for good reason. I think if this game was taking place later in the season, we wouldn’t see the Royals getting plus money on the runline.


Our Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.