Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners Pick – MLB July 26, 2022

The Texas Rangers and Seattle Mariners are back at T-Mobile Park for the second of three games in this series. The Mariners struck first with a 4-3 win on Monday night. Chris Flexen was strong with 4 hits and 2 earned runs allowed across 6 innings.

Glenn Otto did what he could for the Rangers, allowing 7 hits and 3 earned runs through 5.1 innings of work. He got himself into too much trouble and the Mariners were able to take advantage just enough to get past Otto and the Rangers.

The Rangers were on the verge of getting swept at Oakland on Sunday afternoon. That would have been a horrid sweep against a bad A’s team, but the Rangers emerged with an 11-8 win.

It’s been a disappointing campaign for the Rangers. They spent money in the offseason to lure Marcus Semien to Texas with the mentality that the Rangers wanted to win now.

A record of 43-52 isn’t what the Rangers envisioned near the end of July.

At least Marcus Semien has shown some pop at the plate after a dreadful start. That’s one positive. If Semien can get hot in April and May next season, their 2023 campaign might look much different.

The Mariners were one of the hottest teams in baseball before the All-Star break. They had won 13 straight games before faltering in three in a row.

Seattle was able to get out of the funk with the 4-3 last night against the Rangers. The unfortunate news for the Mariners is that young gun Julio Rodriguez injured his wrist during the Home Run Derby. He may or may not go on the injured list.

Dane Dunning and George Kirby are due up in the rotation at T-Mobile Park tonight. Head below for our free Rangers vs. Mariners prediction on July 26, 2022.

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Texas Rangers +1.5 (-150) +130 Over 8 (-105)
Seattle Mariners -1.5 (+130) -155 Under 8 (-115)
Team Data Texas Rangers Seattle Mariners
Overall Record 43-52 52-45
Away/Home Record 22-26 25-23
Batting Average .240 .236
Batting Average Away/Home .242 .230
Runs Per 9 4.68 4.98
Team ERA 4.58 4.15
Team ERA Away/Home 3.98 3.36

Rangers vs. Mariners Prediction:

George Kirby will be on the mound and has been generally reliable for the Mariners this season. Besides an outlier start where he allowed 7 runs on June 27 to the Orioles at Camden Yards, Kirby has held up well this season.

Following that performance, the rookie came back with strong work vs the A’s and Jays.

Across his previous two starts, Kirby has allowed 3 earned runs through 11.1 innings. Despite allowing 7 runs to the O’s, Kirby has conceded 3 or fewer earned runs in seven of his last eight outings.

In his most recent outing vs the Rangers, Kirby put on a decent show, with 2 earned runs allowed in 6 innings at Globe Life Field. The Mariners picked up a 6-5 win in that one on the road.

Kirby likely has the upper hand over Dane Dunning in this contest at T-Mobile Park. Dunning was acquired in a deal for Lance Lynn at the end of 2020.

The Rangers played the long game with Dunning after dealing the reliable veteran.

Lynn was contributing, but they didn’t want to lose him in a bidding war. Dunning didn’t have much experience, but showed flashes of promise so the Rangers were thinking ahead to the future with him.

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 3-7
  • 1-7 overall in their previous eight games versus the AL West
  • 0-6 overall in their previous six games versus a team with a winning record
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five second game of a series
  • 0-6 overall in their previous six games versus the Mariners
  • 3-17 overall in their previous 20 games at Seattle


  • Record (Last 10): 7-3
  • 10-2 overall in their previous 12 second game of a series
  • 6-1 overall in their previous seven games at home versus a team with a losing record
  • 9-3 overall in their previous 12 games versus a right-handed starter at home
  • 10-4 overall in their previous 14 games at home
  • 13-5 overall in their previous 18 games versus the AL West

  • Dunning is entering the Seattle with an ERA of 4.42 and a 1.42 WHIP in 18 starts this season. He hasn’t been in top form recently, as Dunning yielded 13 hits and 7 earned runs in his last 7.2 innings.

    Dunning has notched a 5.93 ERA and 1.98 WHIP in his previous three starts.

    Batters have reached base at a .433 OBP clip against Dunning during that time. Does Seattle look like a bounce-back spot for him? It’s unlikely that Julio Rodriguez plays, so that’s a plus, but he hasn’t pitched well on the road in 2022.

    Dunning has recorded an ERA of 5.52 and a 1.69 WHIP on the road. He’s also winless with a record of 0-5.

    Look at the Mariners to keep on tonight. Kirby should be responsible for a winning effort at home over the Rangers.


    Rangers vs. Mariners Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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