Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Pick – MLB April 12, 2021

The Texas Rangers and Tampa Bay Rays are scheduled to get a four-game series underway on Monday night at the Trop. The Rays had what was a successful weekend against the New York Yankees in St. Petersburg. They were winners in two of three games, a 10-5 and 4-0 win to the first two games, but failed to get the sweep yesterday afternoon. The bats woke up for the Yankees, as they put up 8 runs in a 8-4 win. Michael Wacha couldn’t make it past 4 innings of work, as he was pulled after allowing 3 hits and 3 earned runs.

It was a couple of fielding gaffes that led to a couple of errors and more runs for the Yankees, too. The Rays fell to 4-5 on the season with the loss. Tampa were swept by the Boston Red Sox before heading into the three-game tilt against the Yanks. That was a nice response for two wins, and I think the Rays are going to hit their stride eventually this season. Having said that, how many times do we wait for a team to get going and they never do. It happens quite often. However, there are also teams that are just slow starters and catch fire in the summer months when it heats up.

A nine-game sample size isn’t anything to go on when it comes to baseball. Too many handicappers use the first month of the season as the ultimate barometer for true success. You can get an idea where some pitchers are heading, but overall team success or failures early isn’t a complete indicator for August and September. That’s the good news for the Rays. Unlike last season, though, there is more pressure on the Rays to keep going after winning the AL Central and going to the World Series. That’s going to be tough to match.

If they’re going to do it, Tyler Glasnow is likely going to have a big season. Their rotation doesn’t have the depth it did last year, so Glasnow must rise up and take on the ace role. He’s a strikeout machine on the hill, we know that much. We also saw glimpses of Glasnow pitching like an ace in 2019 before getting injured. Glasnow was on fire, but an injury derailed his season and he only made 12 starts. He hasn’t pitched a full season in his career yet, which has to keep the Rays’ front office nervous. Glasnow will get the starting nod, with promising prospect Dane Dunning countering for the Rangers. Head below for our free Rangers vs. Rays pick on April 12, 2021.

Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Odds:


  • Rangers +1.5 (-115)
  • Rays -1.5 (-105)

  • Rangers +195
  • Rays -245

  • Over 7.5 (+105)
  • Under 7.5 (-125)


Rangers vs. Rays Prediction:

The Chicago White Sox had to send Dane Dunning to Texas to acquire Lance Lynn. They are in win now mode and believed that Lynn was a shortcut to getting them to the World Series. I don’t know that the White Sox are going to look back at this deal fondly in the future. Dunning has plenty of potential and could just be getting going in his career.

The White Sox wanted more of a sure bet with Lynn, who is one of the more consistent pitchers in the majors. Dunning may or may not be an ace. If Lynn doesn’t want to re-sign with the White Sox, and Dunning continues to get better, it’s going to be a miss for them. Dunning got his feet wet last season with seven starts and held up well.

He posted an ERA of 3.97 and 1.12 WHIP. Opponents hit just .197 against Dunning in 2020. It’s hard to ignore that kind of production, and the Rangers certainly didn’t shy away from dealing Lynn. Dunning made the Texas’ front office look smart in his first start with the Rangers. Dunning allowed 3 hits and 1 earned run through 5 innings against a solid Toronto offense in his season debut.

He posted a 0.60 WHIP with the Blue Jays hitting only .167 versus him. He might need to have another performance like that to lead the Rangers to a win on Monday night. With Glasnow on the other side, Dunning will need a repeat effort. Glasnow is hot after two very impressive starts. It’s all about staying healthy for the 27-year-old.

Glasnow got off to a quick start against the Marlins with just 1 hit no runs allowed through 6 innings. To show it wasn’t a fluke, Glasnow was solid again, this time against the Red Sox with 4 hits and 1 earned run allowed through 6 innings of work last week. Glasnow heads into Monday night with an ERA of 0.75 and 0.58 WHIP.

While Dunning has been in good form, he struggled on the road with a 4.30 ERA and 1.36 WHIP last season. This looks like an UNDER game at first glance with Dunning and Glasnow on the bump, but it could be close with a total of 7.5 runs. I like a 5-2 or 5-3 win in favor of the Rays at the Trop on Monday night.


Our Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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