Tigers vs. Angels MLB Pick – July 29th

The Detroit Tigers came close again yesterday afternoon, but it wasn’t enough to get out of Seattle with a win. The Mariners swept the Tigers in four games, finishing them off with a 3-2 win in extras Sunday afternoon. It was the second game of the weekend where the Tigers brought the game in extra innings, but came out of the matchup with a 3-2 loss. The loss made for their sixth in a row, as they fell to 30-71 on the season.

They’re on a clear path to last place in the major leagues, which would give them a win in a sense for the 1st overall pick in the draft. The Tigers are also in danger of breaking their old record of 43-119 in 2003. The difference between then and now is they weren’t saddled with monster contracts in 2003, so a quick turnaround to a contender was possible.

Miguel Cabrera and the Tigers’ starting pitcher for tonight, Jordan Zimmermann, are getting big paydays for what they did in the past. Zimmermann never panned out in Detroit, so at least Cabrera gave the Tigers years of productive service. Neither are being major contributors at this point. Cabrera’s power is gone and Zimmermann did a hit and run with his contract.

Their minor league system is developing, though, and it’s likely to get better soon. They still have a few trade pieces worthy of getting something in return. Nick Castellanos sat yesterday as a precautionary measure, so that tells you all you need to know about his future in Detroit.

Matt Boyd threw a gem Sunday, bolstering his value in the market. Closer Shane Greene, who hasn’t had to be called upon much, is being eyeballed as well. So, all isn’t lost for the Tigers and the future. They’ll remain on the west coast for the next few days, before flying to Arlington for a three-game series with the Rangers. In other words, there doesn’t appear to be much relief in sight. Jaime Barria is expected to get the nod tonight for the Angels. Head below for our free Tigers vs. Angels pick.

Detroit Tigers vs. L.A. Angels Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Angels -230/Tigers +195
  • O/U: 10.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Jordan Zimmermann (0-8, 7.57 ERA)
  • Jaime Barria (4-3, 6.63 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

It doesn’t take a baseball expert to tell you that Zimmermann’s contract has been a complete disaster in Detroit. He’s hitting an all-time low in 2019, as his ERA has slipped all the way down to 7.57 going into Monday. His previous career-low was set in 2017 with a 6.08 ERA, so he is well on his way to breaking that, which was bad enough. Zimmermann has been going down recently as well, with no signs of him turning it around anytime soon.

He posted an ERA of 12.75, 2.33 WHIP, and .453 OBA in his previous three outings against the Phillies, Blue Jays, and Royals. The Phillies have a decent offense, albeit inconsistent, but getting bombed by the Blue Jays and Royals isn’t the best look. Zimmermann has allowed at least 4 runs in his last four outings. The Angels are hitting .312 with a .348 in 109 at-bats against Zimmermann.

The Angels aren’t coming off their best series, either. They needed a walk-off in the 9th to avoid getting swept by the lowly Baltimore Orioles. The Angels were cutting it close, but were able to at least get a win out of the series, which was still a missed opportunity. In what was a winnable series leading into three games against the worst team in the majors, the Angels came up short big time.

Barria will kick things off in Anaheim against the Tigers. He’s been effective at home, posting an ERA of 2.04 and 0.91 WHIP in 17.1 innings of work. Also note that Barria has allowed 2 or less runs in four of his last five outings, with three of those games surrendering only 1-run. He’s coming off what might be his most impressive start of the year, with a tremendous effort against the Dodgers at Dodger Stadium, having allowed just 3 hits and a run in 5 innings. After struggling against the Orioles for four days, expect a turnaround to get this series started vs the Tigers on Monday night.

The Bet
ANGELS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.