Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick – July 17

The MLB is set up with another great slate of games throughout Sunday. Fourteen games are up on the board as we prepare to enter the All-Star break. One of these games will be between the Detroit Tigers and the Cleveland Guardians. These two teams have been solid on the season and will look to get going early. This game will start at around 1:40 PM Eastern time.

Detroit has earned a record of 37-55 throughout the season, which has them sitting in fourth place of the AL Central. The Tigers have lost four games in a row and are 2-8 throughout their last 10 games. Detroit is 12 games back on a wild card spot and will look to close the gap before the break. The Tigers will look for a quick start on the road in this one.

The Guardians have put up a record of 46-44 so far on the season, which has them in second place of the AL Central. Cleveland has won three games in a row and have gone 6-4 in their last 10 matchups. The Guardians are two and a half games back on the top seeded Minnesota Twins. Cleveland will look for another big win at home on Sunday.

These two teams are on opposite sides of the standings, but will look for a big win as they meet up on Sunday afternoon. The Tigers have struggled a bit as of late and will look to get back on track. Cleveland will look to close the gap on the top of the division as we enter the All-Star break. If either team can come out fast, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Detroit Tigers +1 ½ (-105) +180 Over 7 ½ (-115)
Cleveland Guardians -1 ½ (-115) -220 Under 7 ½ (-105)
Team Data Detroit Tigers Cleveland Guardians
Overall Record 37-55 46-44
Away/ Home Record 14-31 25-19
Batting Average .299 .249
Batting Average Away/ Home .214 .250
ERA 4.15 3.87
ERA Away/ Home 4.38 3.59

Betting Trends

Detroit Tigers

  • 8-10 in July games
  • 4-9 when playing on Sunday
  • 19-24 against division rivals
  • 20-27 in day games
  • 26-40 against right handers
  • 19-36 after a loss
  • 15-26 against team with a winning record

Cleveland Guardians

  • 7-10 in July
  • 7-7 when playing on a Sunday
  • 23-19 against divisional opponents
  • 22-21 in day games
  • 29-31 against right handed starters
  • 28-21 after a win
  • 23-16 against team with a losing record

These two teams have met up 12 times throughout the season. The first two games were split in Cleveland. The Tigers won two of the next three games at home. Detroit swept the next four game set, which was also in their home ballpark. The Guardians have won all three games of this set so far. Cleveland has outscored the Tigers 50-45 in the season series, despite Detroit leading the series with a 7-5 record.


The Tigers have struggled hitting the ball throughout the season. Detroit has a .229 batting average, which is 27th in the league. The Tigers have earned an OBP of .286, which is 29th in the MLB. Detroit has posted a .619 OPS, which is also 29th in the league this season. The Tigers have a BA of .215 against right handers.

Cleveland has been solid at the plate on the season. The Guardians have a batting average of .249, which is 10th in the MLB. Cleveland has put up a .314 on base percentage, which is 15th in the league. The Guardians have earned an OPS of .698, which is 16th in the MLB. Cleveland has hit .260 against righties this season.

The Guardians have the clear edge hitting the ball entering this game and will look to keep their bats going. Cleveland has 32 hits and 20 runs over the first three games of this set. The Tigers have earned 18 hits and 5 runs in those games. Detroit will need to get some runs home if they want to avoid the sweep in this series.

Pitching Preview

Tyler Alexander will likely get the start at pitcher for Detroit in this one. Alexander has earned a record of 2-3 throughout his 13 appearances on the season. He has posted a 4.45 ERA and a WHIP of 1.38 in those outings. Alexander’s last appearance was against the Guardians. He gave up two hits and a run through one inning.

I expect Shane Bieber to get the nod on the mound for the Guardians on Sunday afternoon. Bieber has started in 17 games this season, going 4-5 in those matchups. He has put up an ERA of 3.24 and a 1.13 WHIP in those games. Bieber pitched the full nine innings in his last start against the Chicago White Sox. He gave up three hits and one run in the win.

These two pitchers have been solid on the season and will look for a big win in this one. The Tigers will likely run a bullpen game with Alexander starting. Detroit has the edge in the bullpen as well in this one. The Tigers relievers have a 3.08 ERA, which is 3rd in the MLB. Cleveland’s bullpen has a combined ERA of 3.66, which is 11th in the league.

Pick Overview

Cleveland has dominated this series so far, but the Tigers will look to bounce back with a big win on the road on Sunday. Detroit will look to get their bats going early against Bieber. The Tigers will also be using their bullpen a lot in this one and will look for it to step up in this one. If Detroit can get the early lead, it could be enough for the win.

Bovada has Cleveland listed as a -220 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Guardians will win this game around 68.8 percent of the time. I think that this line should be closer to even. Detroit has a strong pitching staff in this one. If the Tigers can get some runs in early, I believe they can pull off the upset.

The Bet
Detroit Tigers
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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