Tigers vs. Indians MLB Pick – July 17th

The Cleveland Indians had to fight back Monday to salvage an 8-6 win over the Tigers. Last night there was no fighting back, as the Tigers offered little resistance in an 8-0 blowout. The Tigers have been a punching bag this season for the opposition.

Especially in the last month, where the Tigers have gone a pathetic 3-18. Even though they are a bad team, you’d have to think that the Tigers would have a couple of more wins in there. They look ready to finish last in the AL Central. At the moment the Tigers are 5th with a record of 29-61. The Tigers were limited to just one hit last night.

Zach Plesac pitched three perfect innings, while three relievers combined to carry the load for the rest of the game. Tyler Clippard was the only Indian who allowed a hit. He gets Castellanos out and the Indians were celebrating a combined no-hitter. Castellanos has the most trade value on the Tigers’ roster right now.

Without him, a guy who has been acting like the glue of the Tigers’ offense, this club might look worse than the team that finished 43-119 in 2003. That team broke the record for worst season by a team in the American League. I don’t know if they end up breaking their own record, but it’s been a bad year.

They are flirting in that territory, and if they trade Castellanos, it’s going to be even more difficult to find ways to win games. Closer Shane Green, who is a mighty attractive trade chip, may also be on the out as well at the deadline. It’s going to get uglier before it gets better for the Tigers. Casey Mize offers a lot of promise, but he is not ready to get called up yet.

The Tigers were a World Series contending team just three years after going 43-119, so they’ve shown it is possible to get back on track quickly. With respects to the Indians, they have a team they’re trying to catch in the AL Central. They’re also still very alive in the wildcard race as well. Rookie Spencer Turnbull will get the nod here for the Tigers, while Mike Clevinger is called upon at home Wednesday night. Head below for our free Tigers vs. Indians pick.

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Indians -260/Tigers +220
  • O/U: 9

Pitching Matchup:

  • Spencer Turnbull (3-8, 3.59 ERA)
  • Mike Clevinger (2-2, 3.99 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

There may not be a pitcher in baseball who is as Jekyll and Hyde as Clevinger is on the road and at home in 2019. His splits are all over the place in that regard. As a visiting pitcher, Clevinger has gotten hammered at every turn. He is in possession of an 8.76 ERA and 1.46 WHIP on the road in 12.1 innings. At Progressive Field in Cleveland, Clevinger has been potent with an ERA of 0.53 and 0.71 WHIP in 17 innings. As a result of an injury earlier in the year, he’s only started six years.

So, we might see his numbers begin to hit more along the lines of his career averages as he gets more work. I’m expecting more of the same from Clevinger at home against the Tigers, though. Detroit are last in the major leagues with 3.69 runs per game. They’re only 0.4 runs off from being dead last, which I see happening as the Marlins jump over them offensively.

Spencer Turnbull goes into Wednesday with an ERA of 3.59 and 1.37 WHIP. That’s certainly not bad at all for a rookie, and if he can maintain those numbers over the next couple of years, the Tigers have a guy they can rely on for one of their rotation spots. Turnbull hasn’t been at his best most recently, though, with a 6.30 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in his previous three starts.

He already has one terrible appearance against the Indians under his belt. On June 16th, the Indians got to Turnbull for 10 hits and 6 earned runs in 5 innings. Overall in his career, the Tribe have dissected Turnbull for a .396 batting average and .448 OBP. They’ve also scored 9 runs on him in just 53 at-bats.

Following last night, the Indians are 26-7 in their last 33 meetings against the Tigers in Cleveland. Overall, they are 53-18 in the last 71. Tigers’ fans are likely going to be getting more bad news this evening, as their team suffered another loss at Progressive Field.

The Bet
INDIANS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.