Tigers vs. Orioles MLB Pick – May 28th

The Baltimore Orioles have resembled a team recently against the Colorado Rockies and Detroit Tigers. They may have lost two of three in Colorado, but they hung tough in the losses and made the Rockies work. In the series opener, the Orioles lost on a 9th inning 2-run walk-off by Trevor Story, and then in the finale, they blew a late lead to lose by a run, 8-7.

The Orioles blowing games is nothing new to their fans. Their pitching has been horrendous, from the starters to the relievers it has been a difficult walk in 2019. It had to be refreshing to have a nice pitching day against the Tigers yesterday. Gabriel Ynoa and Dan Straily pitched 4 innings each and held strong. Detroit scored 3 runs and were unable to score in the final 4 frames of the game.

Detroit and Baltimore own a combined record of 37-69. Brutal stuff were two teams who are in a rebuilding phase. The Tigers and Orioles have both shed a lot of expensive salaries over the past couple of years. The most notable was the Manny Machado trade to the Dodgers last season. Longtime Oriole, Adam Jones, also found a new team in the offseason. They’ve left the pitching department completely bare, as they go cheap while trying to accumulate a base with prospects.

On the prospect front, the Tigers are ecstatic about what prospect Casey Mize is doing in the minors. Things are dire now, but they appear to have an elite pitcher ready to be the next Justin Verlander in Detroit. Those are lofty expectations, but Mize has set the bar high for himself. He’s been flawless in Double-A, with an ERA of 1.40 and 0.75 WHIP.

Look for the Tigers to call him up in two or so years when they expect to begin turning a corner as a franchise. There is no reason to call him up with the team in their current state. It’s been really bad for the Tigers, as they’ve lost 12 of their last 13 games. Of all games, their only win in that stretch came against Noah Syndergaard. Matt Boyd, who has developed into the ace of the rotation, will get the nod against Dylan Bundy of the Orioles. Head below for our free Tigers vs. Orioles pick.

Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Tigers -113/Orioles -107
  • O/U: 9

Pitching Matchup:

  • Matthew Boyd (4-4, 3.10 ERA)
  • Dylan Bundy (2-5, 4.67 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

If there is any silver lining to this season for the Tigers, they have finally started to see their trade for David Price start to pay off. Price is one guy in a long list of salary shedding moves that the Tigers made in the last few years. They got Daniel Norris and Matthew Boyd in exchange.

Norris and Boyd are both in the starting rotation now, and Boyd has turned into the best pitcher on their staff. Norris allowed 2 earned runs in a loss yesterday. Boyd has been sharp with an ERA of 3.10 despite playing on this dumpster fire of a team. He is coming off a strong performance against the Marlins, allowing no runs across 6 innings of work.

The Orioles are hitting .154 against Boyd with just 1 RBI. It has been only 13 at-bats, though, so not the largest of sample sizes at the plate. Boyd has given up more than 3 runs only once this season. That came against the Oakland Athletics on the 18th, and then he responded to neutralize the Marlins in his next outing.

Dylan Bundy heads into Tuesday with an ERA of 4.67 in 52 innings of work. Bundy hasn’t been able to participate in many wins this season. The Orioles have lost seven of the last nine starts Bundy has had. He has been about the same on the road at home.

Bundy has posted an ERA of 4.68 at home in 2019. Nick Castellanos is the only Tiger that he has faced in his career. The Tigers and Orioles are of course both bad teams. There aren’t going to be many better situations for the Tigers to get their second win since May 13th.

They have their best hurler on the bump against the Orioles tonight. You’re not going to see me lay big money on the Tigers this season, but at a decent price against a team like the Orioles, they are worth a look on Tuesday. There comes a point where avoiding embarrassment is a good motivator.

The Bet
TIGERS
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.