Tigers vs. Rangers MLB Pick – August 2nd

The post Nick Castellanos era in Detroit begins tonight for the Tigers. Detroit did what they said they were going to do, and that was sell at the deadline to rebuild some more for the future. Ideally, the Tigers want to put a competitive product on the field for when Casey Mize is ready to fly in the major leagues. He very well could jump in right now and begin firing away, but there really is no point to wear out his arm on this dumpster fire of a team.

Along with Castellanos, the Tigers shipped out closer Shane Greene, who was expected to be moved as well. The one guy that stayed, who was projected to leave, was starting pitcher Matthew Boyd. I don’t think the market was as hot for Boyd as the Tigers would have hoped.

In the end, he stays and Castellanos and Greene are out. Greene was the Tigers’ closer and he wasn’t getting much work on this team. With losses piling up, they weren’t calling him often and struggled to get the ball to him to close out games. With Greene in Atlanta, he’s going to have many more opportunities than he did with the Tigers. He immediately goes to a postseason contender from the basement in Detroit.

The Rangers were expected to do something at the deadline, but ended up staying pat and doing nothing major. There were some questions whether they’d buy as a .500 team and make a run at a wildcard like the Mets are doing. If not, they were expected to trade their veterans like Hunter Pence, Mike Minor, and Shin-Soo Choo.

Nothing came of it, though, and the Rangers still have a fairly decent team intact. Lance Lynn was another possible chip, but he will be starting for the Rangers tonight and not another team. Rookie Tyler Alexander will touch the rubber for the Tigers in Arlington. Head below for our free Tigers vs. Rangers pick.

Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Rangers -230/Tigers +210
  • O/U: 10

Pitching Matchup:

  • Tyler Alexander (0-1, 3.86 ERA)
  • Lance Lynn (13-6, 3.83 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Tyler Alexander will be making the fourth start of his major league career in Arlington on Friday. Playing on a bad team as a pitching prospect has its advantages. Prospects in Houston, for instance, aren’t sniffing the starting rotation at this point, unless injuries become a major concern. However, a last place team like Detroit is allowing the younger guys to get a crack to impress management. Alexander enters Texas with an ERA of 3.86 and 1.10 WHIP. He will not have the pleasure of pitching in one of the friendliest parks for pitchers tonight, though.

Comerica swallows up a lot of would be home runs, but Globe Life Park has a knack for doing the opposite. In two outings on the road, Alexander posted a 5.79 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 9.1 innings. He shouldn’t expect much help from a bullpen than ranks 25th in the majors with an ERA of 4.94. Alexander will have to navigate through an offense who are 7th in the majors with 5.31 runs scored per game. At home, that ticks up a bit to 5.63 runs per game. That makes them the 3rd best team at scoring runs in their home ballpark.

On the other side, Lance Lynn is likely going to like playing a Detroit team who are 30th in the majors with 3.59 runs per game. This was with Castellanos, one of the only threats the Tigers had in their lineup. The Tigers were averaging just 0.93 home runs per game with him, so expect them to drop further offensively with Castellanos gone. Conversely, the Rangers are hitting 1.54 home runs per game at home this year.

Lynn is coming off a dominant performance over the Athletics, as he allowed just 4 hits and 1 earned run in 6 innings of work. He’s been hit and miss in 2019, but we should see him give one of his better efforts tonight. Expect a win by 2 or more runs by the Rangers against the Tigers to get the weekend started in Arlington.

The Bet
RANGERS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.