Tigers vs. Red Sox Pick MLB – September 4th

Yesterday’s matchup between the Giants and Padres promised to be rather unexciting, then again, if you like pitching you would have loved it. Actually, if you love pitching and have money on the under it doesn’t get much sweeter than a groundball fest. That’s what we got out of Madison Bumgarner and Robbie Erlin, as innings turned into quick work for the youngsters. It wasn’t until the 5th inning that we received any runs, with the Padres ultimately coming out on top, 3-2. It’s another winner, and another total winner for me, which have been oh so kind to me this baseball season. Let’s move on to Wednesday where we try and continue our perfect week of handicapping.

Free MLB Pick:

Detroit Tigers +115 at Boston Red Sox -125 (Total: 9.5)

Rick Porcello (11-7, 4.44 ERA) vs. Ryan Dempster (7-9, 4.75 ERA)

Rubber match time in Boston, where the Tigers and Red Sox have split the previous two meetings. Both contests turned into pitcher duels, as the Tigers came our victorious 3-0 on Monday, and then the Red Sox came back yesterday slipping by with a 2-1 win. This is by far the most intriguing series going on at the moment, as both teams figure to have a great chance to be the last team standing in October. The Tigers at 81-58 and the Red Sox 83-57 are both among MLB’s elite, which is easy to see when you take a look at their rosters.

The pitching matchup for Wednesday night, however, won’t be the highest profiled matchup you’ll see this season. First, Rick Porcello has enjoyed an up and down campaign, where he has flourished at times, but looked like a vanilla pitcher for the majority of it. Porcello is what he is though, a run of the mill average pitcher that isn’t a bad addition to the tail end of a rotation. You won’t be hearing about Porcello or anything in the Tigers’ starting playoff rotation that is for certain. His numbers reflect the kind of pitcher he has been his whole career. Coming in with a 4.44 ERA, Porcello has been erratic with his delivery of late. There was a point in July where he looked like the Tigers’ ace, but mind you that was mainly against the Chicago White Sox. Porcello has pitched his way to an ERA of 5.29 in his last three starts, against the Twins, Mets, and Indians. The Red Sox should be able to get to Porcello at home, as they hit righties incredibly well at .276.

Porcello could very well escape this one with a victory after getting dinged by the Red Sox. The Tigers’ offense’, packed with plenty of power, will be ready to bring juggernaut offense against Ryan Dempster. Dempster, a right-handed pitcher as well, may have trouble against a team that hits them at .286. Dempster has virtually the same numbers as Porcello lately, posting a 5.30 ERA in his last three outings, mainly coming against the Yankees where he got absolutely walloped for 7 runs in that infamous A-Rod game. Dempster has just been off at home keeping the ball down, allowing a ton of homers at Fenway, 17 to be exact. Not the kind of figures you want to have against a Tigers team that can take it deep.

I think there were a lot of hitters in these lineups that were dreaming of crushing the ball off both of these pitchers. You won’t find two better teams that can destroy righties like the Tigers and Red Sox can. If you make a mistake, they will be sure to make you pay. Both offenses have been dead in this serious, but I think the offensive fireworks are going to greet us tonight at Fenway. Two pitcher duels gives way to a fun one in Boston. I’ll be on the over in this heavyweight matchup.

Free Pick: OVER 9.5

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.