Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox – MLB April 21

7:10 p.m. ET – Blue Jays at Red Sox (-135 ML) O/U: 9.5

The 7-10 Blue Jays stay in Boston to take on the American League East-leading 12-6 Red Sox on Wednesday night. The opening game of the series went to Boston on Tuesday, 4-2, after a three-run home run by Xander Bogarts gave the Red Sox a lead they never relinquished. Left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez got the win for Boston after six innings of three-hit baseball, allowing only two runs.

The Red Sox bullpen then allowed only one hit over three innings of work to slam the door shut.

About the Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays LogoToronto is loaded with young and exciting talent, but has struggled to get its bats going in 2021. Seventeen games into the season the Blue Jays rank 20th in runs per game scored at 4.0. Vladimir Guerrero Jr., the 22-year-old phenom third baseman, is off to a great start to the season, batting .368 with four home runs and 11 RBI.

Also, Bo Bichette, who is only 23, is off to a hot start as well, batting .279 with five home runs and 11 RBI. While those two have been doing their part, the club’s offseason signings have not been producing. Outfielder George Springer opened the season on the Injured List and has yet to play a game as they try and get him healthy for what should be a long season in Toronto. Second baseman Marcus Semien came over from Oakland after a couple of great years, but is hitting .174 in the month of April. The Blue Jays pitching staff has been a pleasant surprise, boasting a 3.15 ERA, which ranks sixth best in all of baseball. Once Toronto gets hot in the core of this lineup, this team is going to be a problem for the rest of the American League East.

About the Red Sox

Boston Red Sox LogoBoston opened the season getting swept by the Orioles and has not lost a series since then. Their offense has been the main reason for this, as the Red Sox lead the American League in runs scored per game with 5.6. Shortstop Bogarts has been a big reason why this offense cannot be stopped, as he is batting .393 out of the gate.

Left Fielder J.D. Martinez currently is tied for the AL lead in home runs with six while batting .375. Martinez leads Major League Baseball in runs batted in this season with 20 in only 18 games. Center fielder Alex Verdugo has joined in the fun recentl , batting .429 with two home runs and eight RBI in his last seven games. Another huge surprise has been an overachieving pitching staff that did not carry high expectations into the year. However, they currently rank a very respectable ninth in the AL in team ERA at 3.60.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Toronto Blue Jays +1½ (-170) +115 O 9½ (-115)
Boston Red Sox -1½ (+140) -135 U 9½ (-105)

The Pitching Matchup

The Blue Jays are giving the ball to right-hander Trent Thornton for his first start of the season on Wednesday night. Thornton has appeared in five games this year for a total of 7.2 innings pitched with a 2.35 ERA. Thornton was bumped out of the starting rotation in 2020 after three starts that combined for an ERA north of 11, so his early resurgence has been a pleasant surprise.

Boston is giving the ball to Garrett Richards to try and secure the series win. Richards has made three starts this season with a 6.00 ERA over 12 innings pitched. The statistics are misleading, however, because most of the runs scored against him came in a disastrous two-inning outing against Baltimore. Richards has gone 10 innings and allowed only two runs in his last two starts.

What’s the Bet?
This game has great betting value on the Over/Under total. The weather is supposed to be ugly, but they should be able to get the game in. Thornton for Toronto has not been a good starter throughout his career and is facing the hottest lineup in the American League. Richards has been better over his past two starts, but the Blue Jays lineup has crushed right-handed pitching this season with 16 home runs against righties, which ranks second in the AL.

Both lineups were held below their average runs per game on Tuesday and will be prepared to make the proper adjustments to get back to their usual runs per game totals, which sit at 9.6 runs per game combined.

The starting pitching matchup, familiarity between both teams, and the weather all point to a game that will surpass the O/U total of 9.5 runs.
The Bet
Over 9½ Runs

*Odds courtesy of MyBookie

Sub Categories:
Joe Menzer / Author

Joe is an award-winning writer and editor who has covered the NBA, NFL, NASCAR, golf, various collegiate athletics and other sports for newspapers, Turner Sports, Fox Sports and ESPN. He has been on the beat for seven Super Bowls, six Daytona 500s and numerous NBA playoff series and All-Star Games. He once was dispatched to Rome, Italy to spend time with an NBA draft choice who opted to play overseas, after which he produced an award-winning series of stories. He also is passionate about fantasy sports and breaking down games in ways that even novice gamblers can use to make their most intelligent wagering decisions.