Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners MLB Odds and Pick for July 7th

We’ve got some day baseball on this Thursday, but most of the MLB action will take place in the evening hours. Four of those games will go down on the west coast, including a clash between the Blue Jays and Mariners in Seattle.

Toronto is in the midst of an AL West road swing that took them through Oakland earlier in the week. The Jays wound up losing two of three to the lowly Athletics, though they did escape town with a narrow 2-1 triumph yesterday afternoon.

The Mariners will get a bit healthier tonight in the first of a four-game weekend series. Ty France, who has missed the past few weeks with an elbow strain, is expected to come off the injured list for this one.

Oddsmakers slightly favor the Blue Jays to take the first game of the series on Thursday night.

Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto came into the season with grand aspirations. The Blue Jays actually opened the campaign as the betting favorites to represent the American League in the World Series, which was a rather dramatic turn of events for a team that failed to make the playoffs a season ago.

However, Toronto’s World Series odds have slipped considerably since then. The Blue Jays head into Thursday’s game in just fourth place in the American League East with a record of 45-38. That’s certainly not terrible, but they’re already 14.5 games adrift of the mighty Yankees at the top of the division.

Barring an incredibly dramatic turnaround, the Jays will have to settle for chasing a Wild Card spot instead. Thanks to the expanded playoff format, however, that dream is still very much alive.

Toronto is expected to start veteran right-hander Casey Lawrence in tonight’s game. The 34-year-old is in his first year with the Jays after ironically making his last big-league appearances for the Mariners back in 2018.
In four relief outings this season, Lawrence has a 6.23 ERA, which isn’t much better than his career 6.58 mark at the MLB level. He last pitched five days ago when he hurled 5.2 innings in relief after Kevin Gausman left a game against the Rays early due to injury.

With Gausman still banged up, the Jays will hope Lawrence can eat up a few more innings tonight. He wasn’t good at all against Tampa Bay in that last game, however, yielding six runs on seven hits in those 5.2 innings.

Seattle Mariners

Seattle is another team that came into the year with big expectations after an active offseason. That included signing reigning Cy Young winner Robbie Ray away from the Blue Jays in free agency. That move has paid off handsomely, yet Seattle comes into Thursday’s game at just 41-42 on the year. That’s good for second place in the AL West, but a hefty 13 games behind the Houston Astros.

The Mariners got off to yet another promising start before fading in May and June. The team has played better baseball of late, however, with a record of 7-3 over the last 10 games.

The Mariners will start veteran southpaw Marco Gonzales tonight. Gonzales has been around the block a time or two, as this is his sixth season as a part of the Mariners’ rotation. So far this season, the 30-year-old is 4-9 with a 3.29 ERA.

That’s a solid ERA, but his 5.29 SIERA tells a vastly different story. Gonzales is allowing a freakishly low .251 BABIP so far this year, while he’s managed to strand better than 78 percent of runners that have reached base against him. Both metrics are due for some regression as the season progresses, and some of that might as well come tonight.

Gonzales’ matchup is a daunting one, as you’d be hard-pressed to find a lineup with as much right-handed power anywhere in the league as the one the Blue Jays will trot out there tonight.

Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners MLB Game Pick

The Blue Jays are clearly the more talented of the two teams in this game tonight, but the Mariners come into tonight playing better baseball of late.

Please Note:
Star rookie Julio Rodriguez is a big reason for the Mariners’ improved play. Since the beginning of June, the future All-Star is hitting .291 with nine homers, 20 RBIs, and 27 runs scored in the span of 34 games.

Lawrence has found almost no success at the major-league level over the course of his career, so I see no reason to believe he can stifle the Mariners in this one. Seattle is still without the suspended Jesse Winker, but there’s still more than enough power in this lineup to make things difficult on the Jays’ emergency starter.

Take the Mariners to win this one as the better moneyline value at home.


Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners Betting Recap

  • Moneyline: Blue Jays -115, Mariners -105
  • Runline: Blue Jays -1.5 (+200), Mariners +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: Over 9 runs (-110), Under 9 runs (-110)
  • Pick: Mariners (-105)


Taylor Smith / Author

Taylor is a sports writer based in Southern California. While he primarily specializes in basketball, baseball and football, he will also dabble in things like soccer and politics from time to time. He has lived in just about every corner of the United States at one point or another, and he has been covering sports and sports betting for the better part of a decade. Taylor currently lives in Long Beach with his fiancé and their two cats.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.