Twins vs. Astros Pick – MLB May 2nd

The Minnesota Twins will wake up on Monday and try to forget about what unfolded over the weekend. The Tigers thoroughly dominated them and exited Minnesota with a sweep. Minnesota had a nice chance to avoid a sweep yesterday but blew a 5-2 lead. Nick Castellanos erased the lead with one swing, belting a 2-run shot with 2 outs. Nolasco was holding up well to that point, but couldn’t make the one pitch he needed to get Castellanos out. Castellanos instead turned on the pitch and sent it for a ride deep. There is no rest for the Twins after the sweep, as they turn their attention to the Houston Astros in the south.

No rest is right, with Dallas Keuchel opposite them on the mound tonight. The Twins have failed to get much going thus far, coming into tonight with a record of 7-17. But look at the Astros, they are right in the same place, a record of 7-17.

Could it be that a World Series’ favorite, the Astros, actually end up as one of the worst teams in baseball? Like I just said, they’re currently 7-17, ten games below .500. There comes a point with teams, that have been struggling, you say okay they are never going to turn it around. Because I think the perception with the Astros is sort of like – oh don’t worry – they are going to flip the season around at any moment. And yes, we just started May so there is definitely a lot of time to do that. However, maybe the Astros were just a little overvalued going into this season? Well look at the Diamondbacks, they were expected to be these vaunted juggernauts. A quick look at their record will reveal 12-15, as well as a struggling Zack Greinke, who they just spent a fortune on. We will see how long this slide lasts for the Diamondbacks and Astros. Tonight we’ll get a look at the Astros against the Twins, a team they are theoretically supposed to wallop.

Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros

Jose Berrios (0-1, 11.25 ERA) vs. Dallas Keuchel (2-3, 4.41 ERA)

The Astros have lost eight of their last ten games, so there has been plenty of finger pointing going around in Houston. There have been plenty of reasons why the Astros have started off so slowly, and while it can’t be put on Keuchel, he has not played up to expectations. He will say that himself. Keuchel enters tonight with a record of just 2-3 with a 4.41 ERA. Last season he had the best year of his career, posting a 2.48 ERA, improving from a 2.93 ERA the previous season. Keuchel has also had an unspectacular WHIP of 1.41.

Jose Berrios will be making the second start of his career against the Astros. The first? It didn’t go so well against the Cleveland Indians. Berrios lasted 4 innings, allowing 5 runs and 6 hits. He put an average of 2 runners on base per inning. Keuchel is coming off two horrible starts, where he gave up 6 runs against the Rangers and 5 runs to the Mariners. If the Astros are serious about this season, they have to plow the Twins over. The ace is on the mound with a chance to bounce back against a bad Twins team. This should be a good motivational builder for the Astros. I like them to win and I like them to win by two or more runs.

PICK: ASTROS -1.5 (+125)

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.