Twins vs. Astros Pick – MLB May 3rd

The Houston Astros didn’t do anything last night to restore any confidence in their quest for the World Series. World Series? Are the Astros even going to make the postseason? I profess that there probably a few Astro World Series tickets being ripped up out there. Wait, wait, we’re only in the month of May. But are the Astros really just in a funk, or is it deeper than that? Are they just a bad team? We might have all been fooled and they are a bad team. I see them getting some momentum going eventually, but it’s hard to fathom them finding the postseason. The entire pitching staff has regressed.

Without Keuchel pitching like his former Cy Young self, the Astros are in a lot of trouble. Keuchel is the best option they have in the rotation, and if he’s going to continue pitching like this, the Astros are doomed. It appears that hitters are not as surprised with his material than they were in the past.

Keuchel got the call last night to try and turn things around, but he went out and allowed 5 runs. In his last three starts, Keuchel has given up 16 runs for an average of 5.3 per game. That isn’t going to work. He’s looked like a Cy Young candidate in one start this season, but other than that, he has looked extremely vulnerable on the hill. It’s going to be interesting where he goes from here. Another pitcher struggling mightily for the Astros will get the start tonight. The Astros needed a nice follow-up to Keuchel in the rotation, but with nobody else performing either has led to one big mess in Houston.

Collin McHugh will try and steer the ship in the right direction tonight, in an attempt to get the Astros off a 7-18 record. He’s been a disaster thus far this season, just like about everybody else wearing an Astros’ jersey at the moment. The Twins, conversely, are going to get a look at another young pitcher tonight, Alex Meyer. We are going right back to this series tonight in search of a winning pick.

Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros

Alex Meyer (0-0, 18.00 ERA) vs. Collin McHugh (2-3, 6.65 ERA)

It’s the same kind of scenario for the Twins tonight as last night. Minnesota started a pitcher with minimal experience last night, who got tattooed in his first start of the year. It worked out well then, are they going to catch lightning in a bottle twice in a row? Meyer has had three appearances throughout his career, this will be his first career start. He came out of the bullpen this season once, where he allowed 2 runs and 5 hits in just 1 inning of work. This catapulted his ERA up to 18.00. Last season he had a similar showing, appearing twice, this time getting hit for 5 runs and 4 hits in 2.2 innings pitched. This is an important start for him personally.

Collin McHugh has had a sour start himself. He had a 2.73 ERA in 2013, followed by a 3.89 ERA a year ago. The Astros were hoping for big things from him, but he’s going backwards like the rest of the team. McHugh enters tonight with an ERA of 6.65, including a dismal 1.89 WHIP. My faith with the Astros is really low right now after they failed to beat the Twins with their ace on the mound last night. They didn’t just lose, they lost soundly. Are they really going to let Alex Meyer have his way with them now? McHugh doesn’t evoke the most confidence in my either, though. This one should fly OVER the total with Meyer and McHugh on the hump Tuesday night.

PICK: OVER 8.5 RUNS (-115)

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.