Twins vs. Athletics MLB Pick – July 3rd

The Oakland Athletics welcomed the Minnesota Twins to town with an 8-6 win on Tuesday night. The Twins are in Oakland for a three-game series, before they turn their attention to the Mariners in Seattle over the weekend. Minnesota grabbed a 3-0 lead last night early, but it quickly evaporated with the A’s scoring 6 unanswered runs between the 3rd and 4th inning.

Jake Odorizzi ultimately allowed 5 earned runs before getting pulled out of the game. In any case, the Twins are still enjoying a 7-game lead in the AL Central. If they were to be told that at the start of the season, then they’d be static. There’s been a role reversal of sorts between the Indians and Twins. The power shift has gone straight from the Cleveland to Minnesota.

A lot was expected out of the Twins last season, but it was a flop for them. They went from reaching the wildcard game to getting shut out completely. This season has a much different vibe to it, with the Twins entering Wednesday at 53-31. Despite the loss last night, they’re still in fine shape heading into this one.

Conversely, the Athletics are in pretty good shape as well with a record of 47-39. However, they face a pretty daunting task to catch Houston Astros in the AL West. They currently trail by 7 games, which isn’t impossible, though certainly difficult.

Their most likely bet at getting to the postseason is going to be a wildcard. They’re neck and neck with the Indians for the final wildcard spot at the moment, so they may need the Twins to play good baseball against Cleveland in the second-half. Kyle Gibson will get the nod for the Twins, while the Athletics will start Tanner Anderson, who will be making his fifth appearance of the season. Get our free Twins vs. Athletics pick below.

Minnesota Twins vs. Oakland Athletics Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Twins -140/Athletics +120
  • O/U: 9.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Kyle Gibson (8-4, 4.21 ERA)
  • Tanner Anderson* (0-3, 7.13 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Tanner Anderson is making just the fifth start of his career tonight. He made six appearances out of the bullpen a season ago and it didn’t go too swimmingly. Anderson was exploited for an ERA of 6.35, but it was merely a plan to get his feet wet at the major league level. You will see that happen a lot with minor leaguers in August and September. Every team who isn’t in a postseason race will turn to their minor league system to get some guys experience. Anderson is getting an important workload in 2019. The A’s are in the postseason hunt and need him to perform.

He hasn’t done that, at least not yet. Anderson enters this contest with an ERA of 7.13 and 1.47 WHIP in 17.2 innings. He’s on the heels of a dreadful performance against the Angels, getting whipped good for 8 hits and 7 runs in 2.2 innings. Tonight may not be an easy chore against a team who can score runs in a hurry. Minnesota rank 2nd in the major leagues with 5.71 runs scored per game.

The offense has preferred playing on the road, with 6.3 runs scored per game compared to 5.08 at home in Minnesota. That’s not a team anyone wants to play in the postseason. The Yankees score just 0.4 more runs on average than the Twins on the road. This will be the first encounter for the Harvard grad against the Twins in his career.

Oakland have done some damage against Kyle Gibson with a .302 and .333 against him. Gibson holds an ERA of 4.68 with a 1.46 WHIP on the road in 2019. He’s allowed 9 long balls as opposed to only 3 at home. I like the OVER here with Tanner Anderson on the bump. Keep in mind that the A’s may push Anderson back to allow Mike Fiers to start the game.

If that is in fact the case, this play isn’t as strong but stands. Fiers has been adequate with an ERA of 4.01 this season. The Twins have been able to get to him for 7 home runs and 17 runs in 118 at-bats. I still like the play with Fiers starting, just not as strong if the A’s opt to go with Anderson on the bump. Keep an eye on the total, as it may go down from 9.5 if Fiers is starting.

The Bet
OVER 9.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.