Twins vs. Giants MLB Pick – June 11th

We came up one run short thanks to a late three-run rally to snek the slumping Pirates past the surging Marlins, 7-6. The loss puts a slight damper on a nice 7-2-1 ATS run with some good underdogs in the mix, but we will look to finish off the weekend strong with a winner to close it out.

The most interesting game on the schedule is the afternoon series finale between the Rockies and the Cubs. After yesterday’s victory, the Rockies have now taken five of six this season from the Northsider’s and have driven them back under .500 (30-31). Today, young sensation Antonio Senzatela will look to record his ninth win of the season while the Cubs counter with struggling ace Jake Arrieta. It’s a pretty fascinating matchup.

Elsewhere, the Dodgers look to finish off a sweep of the Reds to keep pace with the Rockies, the Brewers and Diamondbacks have a rubber match in their series of surprising contenders, and Max Scherzer gets the ball for the Nats to try and earn a series win over the Rangers.

Let’s dive in to today’s featured National League pick.

Today’s MLB Pick:

Minnesota Twins +110 at San Francisco Giants -117 (Total: 8.5)
Nik Turley (first MLB start) vs. Matt Cain (3-5, 4.87 ERA)

How delicious is this: Nik Turley gets to make his first MLB start in the stadium of one of the teams that refused to give him that very opportunity. Turley has made 132 Minor League starts for five different teams; the Giants being one of them.

132 starts over eight years of MiLB baseball isn’t the greatest resume item – it generally means journeyman with average stuff. But if you are going to get away with average stuff anywhere, why not against the Giants who are third-worst in the league with a .233 batting and second-worst 226 runs.

Opposing him will be veteran Matt Cain, who looked to be having a bit of a career revival in April, but has since regressed to his unfortunate last three seasons mean. He has only two quality starts in his last nine outings, including allowing eight runs in his last two starts totaling just ten innings. Add in the Twins dazzling 20-8 road record, and you have to think that Turley will get some support and a real chance to notch his first MLB victory.

I’m a fan of the Twins in this matchup, but an even bigger value of the line. I can get the better team playing better baseball at the better price. Add in a struggling starter for the home team, and I am willing to ride with the uncertainty of a guy making his first big league start for the opposition.


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