Twins vs. Rays MLB Pick – May 30th

The Tampa Bay Rays needed extra innings to get the sweep, but they got it done in the bottom of the 11th with the bases loaded. Willy Adames connected on a single to provide the Rays with a 1-run win over the Blue Jays. It probably shouldn’t have come to that with the Rays getting robbed of 2 runs much earlier in the game. Jonathan Davis made a tremendous leap in the outfield, which may go down as the catch of the year.

Avisail Garcia thought he easily had a double when the ball left his bat, but Davis had other ideas as he turned on the jets. Tough break for backers of the runline, as that essentially closed the door on the Rays winning by 2 runs. Who knows if they would have added more runs in that inning, as Trent Thornton was beginning to let things get away. It was another big win for Rays, though, who advanced to 34-19 on the season. They are keeping pace with the Yankees and haven’t gone anywhere despite a nice run by the Yanks.

The Yankees lead the Rays by a game going into the weekend. They have to deal with the Red Sox this weekend, while the Rays stay at the Trop in St. Pete for a meeting with the Twins. This is an interesting series between two teams who have been skyrocketing in 2019.

There weren’t too many expectations after both ball clubs failed to have breakout seasons last season, but they’ve been answering the call this year. The Rays and Twins were in a lot of breakout articles for the 2018 year, which of course didn’t come to fruition for either team. They may have just been late bloomers. Difference being the Rays are playing in a highly competitive division, while the Twins don’t have another team within striking distance. Head below for our free Twins vs. Rays pick.

Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Rays -130/Twins +110
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Martin Perez (7-1, 2.95 ERA)
  • Charlie Morton (5-0, 2.54 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

The Twins have been mirroring each other this season with their success. That wall that some people are expecting them to hit has happened, at least not yet. The success of Martin Perez and Charlie Morton have played a role in the positive results for the Twins and Rays. Both newcomers to their respective clubs, Perez and Morton have been playing above expectations on the hill.

Perez has to be the most surprising pitcher, as he is playing the best baseball of his career in his eighth season as a major league hurler. His last seven years were spent with the Rangers in Arlington. He never looked like this. Perez is coming off a season in which he threw an ERA of 6.22. A change of scenery has helped a lot, as Perez goes into this contest with a 2.95 ERA and record of 7-1.

Playing on a team with this kind of offense certainly helps his W-L record. A lot of it has been because of his effort as well. Perez hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in five of his last six outings. He’s given up just 3 runs in his last two games, which spans 11.2 innings of play.

He got plenty of run support in those two showings against the Mariners and Angels, as the Twins put up 23 runs to outscore them by a margin of 23-8. The Twins enter Thursday with the best offense in the majors with an average of 6 runs scored per game. They lead with 1.96 home runs on average. You guessed it, they also lead the majors in hits per game with 9.41 per game. They’ve gotten more hits on the road with 10.77 per game.

The Twins have been adequate against Charlie Morton with a batting average of .260 and .361 OBP. Morton has been more than adequate this season with a 2.54 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. He definitely doesn’t have the luxury of an offense like Perez does. The Rays are 19th with 4.55 runs per game. They are hitting .240 against lefties as opposed to .263 vs righties. Morton hasn’t been effective at the Trop as he has been on the road. He enters this one with a 3.68 ERA at home compared to a 1.88 on the road. It’s hard not to like the Twins at this price tonight.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.