Twins vs. Red Sox MLB Pick – September 5th

The Boston Red Sox were too much for the Minnesota Twins to handle last night, as they brushed off a 6-5 loss to respond for a 6-2 win. Eduardo Rodriguez was pitching lights out for the Red Sox, as he was firing darts for no runs allowed in 7 innings of work. The Red Sox sat Jose Berrios down following 5 innings. It wasn’t a good night for Berrios, as he surrendered 8 hits and 6 earned runs.

The bullpen did their job, with Berrios responsible for all of the Red Sox runs. The Twins are going to need Berrios to be better than that come postseason time. If the Indians suddenly get hot, the Twins might have to worry about holding onto the AL Central. In any event, the Twins still have a 5.5-game lead despite the loss last night.

Cleveland survived what was a near collapse Wednesday night. With an 8-2 lead and the game seemingly in the bad, the Indians were sweating when the lead was cut to 8-6 and the bases were loaded. The White Sox had the bases juiced and only 1 out, but failed to convert with a single to tie the game up.

An extra base hit and the White Sox could have come all the way back to take a lead. Statistically speaking, the Indians have the best bullpen in the majors. Last night just goes to show you no lead is safe no matter the bullpen. The postseason could get a little crazy late in games.

You should expect it by now after a summer of blown leads. Martin Perez will look to get the Twins back on track, while Nathan Eovaldi is expected to get the nod for the Red Sox. Head below for our free Twins vs. Red Sox pick.

Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Red Sox -145/Twins +125
  • O/U: 12

Pitching Matchup:

  • Martin Perez (9-6, 4.89 ERA)
  • Nathan Eovaldi (1-0, 6.23 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

The Red Sox are in a tough spot right now, but it isn’t impossible with a 5.5-game hole between them and a wildcard. The race has been down to the Rays, Athletics, and Indians in the American League, but there is still ample time for the Red Sox to make a run at the Wild Card Game.

In a few weeks we might be talking about one of those too little too late deals for the Red Sox, though. Eovaldi has done absolutely nothing for the Red Sox this season after looking like a fairly decent pick up from the Rays last season. He posted an ERA of 3.33 in 12 appearences with the Red Sox, but has been going through rocky waters in 2019.

He’s had issues staying healthy, so that’s problem No. 1 for the veteran. And when he has been on the bump, Eovaldi looked more injured than anything. The rotation from the top to bottom has had issues and Eovaldi is no different in that respect. He’s gotten rattled for a 6.23 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in seven showings.

In his previous three starts, Eovaldi has gotten blasted for an ERA of 8.00 and 1.67 WHIP. None of the minimal success he’s had has come at Fenway. He holds an ERA of 8.44 and 1.94 WHIP in 16 starts in Boston this year.

Martin Perez will get the nod for the Twins, and while he was toyed with against the Tigers in Detroit, he’s otherwise been pitching well lately. Perez had three straight outings with impressive results, holding the Brewers, Rangers, and Tigers to 4 runs. He went 11 innings on the road with just 2 runs allowed against the Brewers and Rangers.

The Red Sox have done a lot of damage against righties, but have struggled more so against lefties with a .258 average as opposed to a .277 against right-handed pitching. I’m more willing to go with the better value at +125 here. Eovaldi shouldn’t be -145 against most teams right now, let alone against a Twins’ offense who lead the majors in scoring and home runs.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.