Twins vs. Tigers MLB Pick – August 31st

The Detroit Tigers got off to a familiar start last night, as the Twins put 4 runs up on the Tigers in the 1st frame. Edwin Jackson has had a dead arm out there this season. He would still be a Blue Jay right now if he still had a workable arm.

Credit the Tigers’ offense for responding in the bottom half of the inning with 2 runs, but this team has had to come from behind in just about every game this season. Every unit on the Tigers has been abysmal this season, though. Most of it isn’t any fault of their own.

The offense is young and inexperienced, with an aging and beaten up Miguel Cabrera anchoring the middle of the lineup. Cabrera has had fairly decent contact numbers this season, but there hasn’t much power to speak of. The Tigers are unable to do anything with that contract. He’s going to be in Detroit until the end of his career. They emptied out their bigger contracts already, but stuck with Cabrera and Jordan Zimmermann.

Following another loss last night, the Tigers fell to 39-93 on the season. Embarrassing expect for the fact that these terrible results were expected. They have a clear path to the first overall pick in the draft, which is good for a team in their position.

A lot of their future success will be dictated by the development of Casey Mize. Mize has the potential to be an All-Star, but he didn’t look the same in the minors since an injury. As far as tonight is concerned, the Tigers will turn to Matt Boyd.

Boyd has been one of their better options in the rotation this season. On the other side, the Twins will counter with former Ranger, Martin Perez. Get our free Twins vs. Tigers pick and the rest of the writeup below.

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Twins -145/Tigers +125
  • O/U: 9.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Martin Perez (9-5, 4.53 ERA)
  • Matt Boyd (6-10, 4.47 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

There hasn’t been an ace in the starting rotation for the Tigers this season. That role was supposed to belong to Michael Fulmer, but he hasn’t been able to get on the hill because of an injury. By default, the “ace” role on the Tigers goes to Boyd. The fact that Boyd is the No. 1 guy in the rotation goes to show how bad this team is.

Boyd enters Saturday with a 4.47 ERA in 159 innings of work. That isn’t what you want to see from your top guy. Boyd would be a nice option in the backend of a strong rotation, but there is a lot of pressure on him as No. 1 on the Tigers. He has gotten wacked recently and has been struggling to get back into a groove. Boyd posted an ERA of 6.87 in his last three outings. The main issue for him has been the deep ball, as he allowed 6 of them in 18.1 innings.

He’s allowed at least 5 earned runs in three out of his four previous outings. The Twins are a team who know how to hit the long ball, so Boyd may run into problems here. Minnesota are 1st in the majors with 1.96 home runs hit per game. They’re also 1st in runs per game. The Twins have hit 7 long balls and scored 22 runs on Boyd in 226 at-bats. They’ve been mauling lefties at a clip of .286 in 2019, so the runs should continue to come Saturday for Minnesota.

Perez has been rolling recently, with an ERA of 2.12 in his last three contests. He hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in a start since August 7th against the Braves. That’s the Braves and this is the Tigers. The offenses aren’t on the same spectrum. Perez has been slightly better on the road in 2019, posting a 4.30 ERA compared to a 4.70 ERA at home.

The difference has been Globe Life Park, where Perez has allowed 13 home runs as opposed to just 5 on the road. Perez should like the friendly pitcher dimensions of Comerica Park. Look at the Twins for another win over the Tigers on Saturday. All things considered, this price is a good deal.

The Bet
TWINS
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.