Twins vs. Tigers MLB Pick – September 2nd

The Minnesota Twins looked like the Twins yesterday, sort of. The final score against the Detroit Tigers was on point, but the way they did it was definitely different. They steamrolled the Tigers by a score of 8-3, with all 8 runs scored without a home run. After setting the single-season home run record Saturday, the Twins didn’t hit one long ball Sunday.

Despite that, the Twins’ offense still throttled the Tigers with the contact game. 5 runs in the 2nd inning was all they needed to take control of the contest. Michael Pineda had another solid showing, as he surrendered 2 earned runs in 6 innings. Pineda pitching well in his last two games is a good sign for the Twins, as we go into September.

An additional strong arm like Pineda would be extremely helpful down the stretch and postseason. With their offense, they could surprise in the postseason if their pitching staff hits a major stride at the right moment. For all of the attention that some of the other offenses have gotten out there, the Twins should be getting more respect. It’s only September 2nd and they’ve already broken a home run record, after all.

The Indians got swept by the Rays over the weekend, so that provides the Twins with an extra lift. Minnesota go into the series finale against the Tigers with a 5.5-game lead in the AL Central. Their stranglehold on the division is getting tighter and tighter. Jake Odorizzi will have a chance to add to their lead Monday afternoon at Comerica Park on Labor Day. Jordan Zimmermann is expected on the other side for the Tigers in a starting role. Head below for our free Twins vs. Tigers pick.

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Twins -205/Tigers +175
  • O/U: 9.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Jake Odorizzi (14-6, 3.55 ERA)
  • Jordan Zimmermann (1-9, 6.24 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

The Tigers were hoping for a replacement for Max Scherzer when they signed Jordan Zimmermann to a five-year $110-million dollar contract. Instead they got a lemon and Zimmermann has failed to live up to expectations. He’s looked like a shell of his former self with the Tigers, and he will continue to collect a fat paycheck until the end of next season. The Tigers will be thrilled that their financial obligations will be done with Zimmermann. He along with Miguel Cabrera have been a drain on their wallet.

Unlike Cabrera, Zimmermann has nothing for the Tigers, though. Miggy has had a Hall of Fame career in Detroit. Zimmermann has won just one game in 2019 and it’s now September. He also carries an ERA of 6.24 and 1.42 WHIP into the final month of the season. Zimmermann has been even worse at home, where he has posted an ERA of 7.38 and 1.79 WHIP. In 39 innings of work, he’s allowed 33 runs.

The Twins haven’t been a favorable matchup for Zimmermann in his career. They are hitting .329 with a .363 OBP in 146 at-bats against him. Minnesota have totaled 8 long balls with 28 runs scored as well. There are ten hitters on the Twins who have hit for better than .300 against Zimmermann. It’s pick your poison. Conversely, Jake Odorizzi has been a force against Detroit.

The Tigers are hitting just .171 with no long balls against Odorizzi in 82 at-bats. This is the same price as yesterday and we should probably be seeing something higher than -205 here. I’m still not paying that on the moneyline, but the Twins on the runline look just as good at a cheaper price.

The Bet
TWINS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.