Back to baseball betting today after an absence for a few days while I was in Vegas. A good trip overall and I didn’t lose anything at the tables so that is always a plus. I haven’t bet any baseball since I have been gone. I checked out some lines while I was there but didn’t want to force anything as I didn’t really have much time to research anything. Now that I am back it is full bore ahead looking to make some money. Flashing back to my last MLB pick though, which I recall pretty vividly as I was watching it from the sportsbook. The Tigers had a 6-3 lead with Joba Chamberlain on the mound looking to seal the deal in the 8th I believe it was. Chamberlain went on to blow the lead with 2 outs on the board mind you, and ended up giving up the loss. Not the best way I wanted to start my time off, but blown saves are a part of it unfortunately. Late May and June is typically my best months during the baseball season. I have gone on some pretty solid 80% plus runs which helped me hit 64% overall in the past. Time to get back on that track tonight on Wednesday night.
Tonight we handicap the Twins and Tigers, where the Twins lean on Ricky Nolasco and the Tigers turn to Kyle Lobstein. Nolasco used to be a pretty decent option, prominently with the Marlins, but his time has come and gone. He is long past his prime and at this point is pretty well just collecting a check at the end of the week. Nolasco hasn’t done much of anything in a considerable amount of time to make me think he is ever going to change it around again. Conversely, Lobstein has been a fill-in as a result of injuries in the Detroit starting rotation, including Justin Verlander. The Tigers have been doing fine without Verlander, but the Tigers wouldn’t prefer having Lobstein inserted in the rotation. More of a role out of the bullpen would be of better preference, but Lobstein has been doing okay considering the hand he has been dealt having to step in for one of the best pitchers in baseball in the last five years. The Twins’ offense has been on fire believe it or not, so we’ll see if they can continue it against Lobstein who by all accounts has been playing fine baseball. Nolasco could be in for a long day, on the other hand.
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers
Ricky Nolasco (2-1, 9.00 ERA) vs. Kyle Lobstein (3-2, 3.00 ERA)
How does one having a winning record with an ERA of 9.00? Just a horrendous mark for Nolasco, but despite that still carries a 2-1 record entering tonight against the Tigers. Not only a horrid ERA, but he is a massive WHIP of 2.00 as well. Nolasco hasn’t lasted longer than 5 innings in any of his starts, and he also just got hammered against the Tigers for 6 runs in his last outing against them a couple of starts ago. The Tigers now have some more firepower against Nolasco given the fact they just played. Nolasco isn’t a good enough pitcher to give the Tigers any type of different look than what he has already thrown the Tigers’ way. In that game he got hit for a 18.00 ERA and .526 OBP in just three innings of work.
The Twins’ offense may have to show up tonight for them to have a good chance at winning this game. And actually, they have been showing up quite impressively of late. Note that they’ve scored an average of 6.5 runs in their last 10 games. Additionally, the Twins played to the OVER in 7-3 of their last ten games. They have also been killing the ball against left-handed pitching. Overall on the season they are hitting lefties at .280 and in their last five games a huge posting of a .380 batting average total. Look for some runs tonight in this matchup. I cannot trust Nolasco much anymore and the Twins should be good for some runs against another left-handed pitcher. I am taking the OVER 9 runs.
PICK: OVER 9 RUNS (+100)