Twins vs. White Sox MLB Pick – July 25th

The Chicago White Sox welcome the AL Central leading Minnesota Twins to Guaranteed Rate Field on Thursday for a four-game divisional series. The White Sox laid an egg last night, as they came up short in a 2-0 loss to the Miami Marlins. With the loss, the Marlins walked into Chicago and won two of three games against the White Sox. The Sox won in a blowout by a score of 9-1 to open the series, but scored only 1 more run in the next two games.

Meanwhile, the Twins were going to battle with the Yankees in a wild series in Minnesota. It was highlighted by a crazy 14-12 win by the Yanks in extras. The end of the game was highlighted by an impressive leap by Aaron Hicks to rob the Twins of a walk-off. The bases were loaded with 2 outs and the Twins down by 2 runs. In all likelihood, the bases would have been cleared to give Minnesota a 15-14 win.

Last night provided another thrilling game, though it didn’t have a similar conclusion. The Yankees scored 9 runs between the 2nd to 4th inning to put the game on ice. Minnesota quickly fought back with 4 runs of their own, but Jake Odorizzi dug too big of a hole for the Twins to get out of. The Yankees went on to add an insurance run in the top of the 9th to make it a 10-7 game.

The Yankees will travel to Boston, while the Twins take off to Chicago for a series with the White Sox. The White Sox were playing decent baseball towards the end of May and in June, but the season has been tough on them recently. They go into Thursday with a record of 3-9 in their previous 12 games.

Not pretty, but this season wasn’t expected to be too pretty for the White Sox. One plus is that Lucas Giolito has emerged to become a viable threat in the rotation. He will be called upon tonight, while the Twins will look to Jose Berrios. Head below for our free Twins vs. White Sox pick.

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Twins -150/White Sox +130
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Jose Berrios (8-5, 2.96 ERA)
  • Lucas Giolito (11-4, 3.12 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

There have been a couple of bright spots for the White Sox this season. While they’re only 45-54 on the season, it hasn’t been a complete loss in 2019. They’ve discovered that Lucas Giolito and Yoan Moncada likely have bright futures. Giolito is only 25 and Moncada is 23, so there is something to build on from here. Giolito has been solid this season with an ERA of 3.12. He was on a wicked tear beginning in May.

However, a couple of spotty outings against the Cubs in two starts distorted his numbers. The Cubs are the only team to score he’s had major issues with this season. Giolito is coming off a sharp performance against the Rays, as he yielded just 1-run across 6.2 innings of work. The Twins are hitting .242 in 99 at-bats against Gilito in his career. In his most recent outing against the Twins, Giolito was on fire with just 1 hit and no runs allowed in a 4-3 victory on June 30th.

This current group of White Sox have had a history of scoring against Jose Berrios. They’ve scored 25 runs with 7 long balls against him in 174 at-bats. Berrios has been a flamethrower at home, with an ERA of 2.10 and 1.13 WHIP at home, but trails off on the road, posting a 3.72 ERA on the road.

The difference has been his inability to limit the long ball in visiting ballparks. While he’s allowed just 5 at home, Berrios has surrendered double that on the road. He allowed 2 home runs in his last date against the White Sox in Chicago. After a grueling series with the Yankees, expect the Twins to possibly sleepwalk against the White Sox here. The last two games could have taken a lot out of them, and now they need to fly out and try to get motivated against an inferior Sox squad. The value appears to be on Giolito and the White Sox in this spot at +130.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.