Twins vs. Yankees MLB Pick – May 5th

The Minnesota Twins smacked the New York Yankees behind a productive performance by Jake Odorizzi on Saturday afternoon. The offense came to play as well with the Twins breaking out for 7 runs. J.A. Happ was chased after 5.2 innings of allowing 7 hits and 4 earned runs. Odorizzi went 6 innings and gave up just 2 hits and no runs. The good news for the Yankees is that Miguel Andujar came back on Saturday.

He got 2 hits but also committed 2 errors. The errors could be accredited to some rust in his game. Andujar is one of the more underrated bats in Major League Baseball. He doesn’t have the star power of a Bryce Harper or Giancarlo Stanton, but Andujar has only played one full season.

As a rookie, he compiled a .297 batting average and 27 home runs. After missing the beginning of the season, Andujar figures to be a major contributor this summer. Stanton will start to amp up his work level on Monday, so things are looking up for the offense.

However, the Yankees got some unsettling news with the injury to James Paxton. Paxton was pitching well following a couple of poor starts to open his career as a Yankee, so it definitely hurts to see him go down. However, it isn’t anything major and he was only sent to the 10-day IL instead of something more severe. His knee was bothering him, so he left with some knee discomfort.

The Yankees will tab Domingo German as their starter for Sunday. German has been a lightning rod for the Yankees and has been settling in an ace role thus far. However, this is just his first full season in the starting rotation, and his last showing wasn’t the best. Michael Pineda, who is looking for a second life in Minnesota has been on shaky ground recently, will get the nod for the Twins. Head below for our free Twins vs. Yankees pick.

Minnesota Twins vs. N.Y. Yankees Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Yankees -135/Twins +115
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Michael Pineda (2-2, 6.21 ERA)
  • Domingo German (5-1, 2.56 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Michael Pineda is in dire need of a good start, or it’s reasonable to suggest that he will have problems staying in the rotation. The Twins are actually playing for something this season, they are 1st in the AL Central right now and the Indians are without Corey Kluber, so it’s time to create a gap in the division. So, Pineda slowing them down is likely going to get him demoted or they are going to be in the market for a pitcher at the trade deadline. Martin Perez has been a pleasant surprise, but Pineda has been a liability recently.

Pineda goes into Sunday with an ERA of 6.21 and 1.48 WHIP. All of his poor outings have been recent. He opened the year with no runs allowed, 2 in his next start, and then another 3 in his third outing. Those are all solid numbers for Pineda, but since then he’s been on a slope down into an abyss.

Pineda holds an ERA of 9.64. .420 OBA, and 2.00 WHIP in his previous three tilts. One of those was against a below average Toronto offense, while he got hit for 9 runs in back-to-back efforts against the Astros. His career didn’t work out in the Bronx and he’s having issues holding it together with the Twins. Three bad starts in a row, okay, but four you have can’t ignore as a team.

With German cooking for the Yankees, Pineda is likely going to need to be on point on Sunday. German enters this contest with an ERA of 2.56 and 0.85 WHIP. His best work has come at Yankee Stadium. There aren’t too many pitchers who like pitching here, but German likes it at Yankee Stadium.

He owns an ERA of 2.08 and 0.92 WHIP in 13 innings of play. In eight innings, he’s given up 3 runs and 6 hits. The Twins are hitting .167 with 1 long ball in 24-bats against German in his career. Look for the Yankees to win the final game of this three-game series and take two of three against the Twins.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.