Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Pick – MLB April 11, 2022

The Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves are scheduled to meet for three days at Truist Park from today to Wednesday. The Braves took a split against the Reds in their opening series of the 2022 campaign.

They were unable to finish the job for three wins in four days on Sunday afternoon. The Reds got to Ian Anderson in the 3rd inning for 5 runs to chase him off the hill.

Anderson allowed 3 hits and 5 earned runs in 2.2 innings before leaving. The Reds bullpen had a standout effort to hold the Braves to no runs for the final 4 innings of the contest.

The Braves’ title defense didn’t get off to a fast start over the weekend, but it’s a long season with 158 games left on the schedule.

Washington is just looking to show improvement this season after a disappointing campaign in 2021. Two years after winning the World Series, they finished last with a record of 65-97.

They were unable to retain top talent and had to let go of some major contributors. The money didn’t work out, and the Nationals couldn’t afford to keep that team together.

The Nationals opened the season with a win and three losses against the New York Mets. They were able to fend off a sweep with a 4-2 win on Sunday.

As advertised going into this season, the offense sputtered through the first four games of the regular season. They relied on a strong performance from Erick Fedde to avoid a sweep.

Fedde allowed 5 hits and 2 earned runs across 5 innings of work. The Nats were shut out in a 5-0 loss a day earlier by Chris Bassitt.

Head below for our free Nationals vs. Braves prediction on April 11, 2022.

Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Washington Nationals +1.5 (-105) +170 Over 9.5 (-105)
Atlanta Braves -1.5 (+130) -210 Under 9.5 (-115)
Team Data Washington Nationals Atlanta Braves
Overall Record 1-3 2-2
Away/Home Record 0-0 2-2
Batting Average .164 .220
Batting Average Away/Home .000 .220
Runs Per 9 2.00 3.75
Team ERA 4.75 4.75
Team ERA Away/Home 0.00 4.75

Nationals vs. Braves Prediction:

The Nationals will have to find their stroke at the plate, or this will be a long season. At least this season, there doesn’t appear to be any help in sight for the Nationals.

They are just fortunate to have Juan Soto in their lineup. Nelson Cruz continues to tick at 41 and had 3 RBIs to lead the Nationals on Sunday.

However, there isn’t much depth, and the Nationals will rely too heavily on Soto. He needs help, and Cruz will likely be a bit inconsistent at this stage in his career.

Huascar Ynoa should be in a good position to look good against the Nationals tonight. Ynoa has steadily improved over his first three seasons and is likely in for greater improvement.

He posted a 4.05 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 18 appearances last year. He’s still getting acclimated to the major leagues with just two appearances in 2019 and nine in 2020. This should be a breakout campaign for Ynoa.

Note that Ynoa recorded a 5.82 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 2020, so there was noted improvement for him a season ago. He should continue trending in the right direction.

Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 1-3
  • 17-44 overall in their previous 61 games
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games as an underdog on the road
  • 15-40 overall in their previous 55 games as an underdog
  • 1-11 overall in their previous 12 games after allowing 2 or fewer runs
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games after their opponent allows at least 5 runs


  • Record (Last 10): 2-2
  • 11-3 overall in their previous 14 games at home
  • 7-2 overall in their previous nine games as a betting favorite at home
  • 7-2 overall in their previous nine games versus a team with a winning percentage below 40%
  • 20-6 overall in their previous 26 games versus the NL East
  • 37-15 overall in their previous 52 games after a loss

Jordan Rogers is getting the call up for the Nationals on Monday. He gets a quick call-up after Anibal Sanchez went on the injured list.

Rogers has a 5.55 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 14 career appearances in the major leagues. The 27-year-old had his best season last year, as Rogers posted a 3.28 ERA and 1.29 WHIP.

However, Rogers failed to make the Opening Day roster, and this is a tough assignment versus the Braves. He’s unlikely to receive the best run support from a shaky offense tonight.

After the Reds pushed back on Sunday to spoil a chance for the Braves to win that series, expect the Braves to respond well tonight.

I’m on board with the Braves to win and cover the runline at Truist Park over the Nats.


Nationals vs. Braves Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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