Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick – MLB May 20, 2022

The Washington Nationals and Milwaukee Brewers open a three-game series at American Family Field on Friday night. The Nationals are coming off five losses in seven games.

They avoided a sweep with a 5-4 victory on Wednesday over the Marlins. Washington wasn’t close in their previous three outings before the win, with an 8-0, 8-2, and 5-1 loss.

The Nationals are a 13-26 team and 12.5 games behind the New York Mets. The Nationals expected this after a brunt of their talent left the team to get paid in other organizations after winning the World Series.

Washington isn’t interested in throwing money around like the Dodgers, so their regression was easy to note. They may not be as competitive now, but they still have that 2019 World Series title over the Houston Astros.

Did you know that the Nationals still have Stephen Strasburg, though? If your first guess is that he’s on the injured list, you win. Shocking. Strasburg had the talent to be the next Clayton Kershaw, but he isn’t as durable.

Staying on the mound and healthy is part of what makes a good major league pitcher. He’s only appeared in seven games the last two years.

The Brewers are feeling good atop the NL Central with a record of 24-14. They have a 1.5-game advantage on the St. Louis Cardinals following three wins in their previous four attempts.

Erick Fedde and Eric Lauer are scheduled to get the starting call at American Family Field tonight. Head below for our free Nationals vs. Brewers pick on May 20, 2022.

Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Washington Nationals +1.5 (-120) +165 Over 8 (-110)
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+100) -200 Under 8 (-110)
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Team Data Washington Nationals Milwaukee Brewers
Overall Record 13-26 24-14
Away/Home Record 8-11 12-5
Batting Average .246 .231
Batting Average Away/Home .283 .238
Runs Per 9 4.10 4.85
Team ERA 4.93 3.49
Team ERA Away/Home 5.29 2.61

Nationals vs. Brewers Prediction:

Stephen Strasburg wouldn’t fix all of the Nationals’ problems, but this rotation would be in better form. The pitching staff needs help badly, as they rate as one of the worst units in the major leagues.

The Nationals are 29th in the majors leagues, with opponents hitting .263 versus their pitching. They’ve allowed 5.35 runs per 9 innings for 27th in the major leagues.

As a team, the Nationals are 28th in the major leagues with an ERA of 4.93 and a 5.29 on the road. Strasburg would help, though depth is the most notable issue for the Nationals this season.

Erick Fedde has been serviceable, but doesn’t have a rotation-leading arm.

Fedde is going into tonight with an ERA of 4.24 and a 1.50 WHIP through 34 innings of work. He’s coming off a start where the offense provided him with great run support.

He allowed 5 hits and 3 earned runs in 4 innings against the ‘Stros, but the Nats had a rare outpouring of offensive support with 13 runs in a 13-6 win.

Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 3-7
  • 1-6 overall in their previous seven games versus the NL Central
  • 5-21 overall in their previous 26 games after a win
  • 0-4 overall in their previous four first games of a series
  • 5-16 overall in their previous 21 games on a Friday
  • 2-6 overall in their previous eight games as an underdog on the road


  • Record (Last 10): 5-5
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games at home
  • 6-1 overall in their previous seven first games of a series
  • 13-3 overall in their previous 16 games vesus a right-handed starter
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games versus the Nationals
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games versus the Nationals at home

  • The Nats don’t have many power bats in their lineup, which has shown this season. They are connecting for just 0.68 home runs per game. That equates to 28th in the major leagues.

    Conversely, the Brewers are the fourth-best power team in the majors, with an avearge of 1.32 home runs..

    At American Family Field, the Brewers have hit an impressive 1.7 home runs per game in 2022. They are scoring 5.79 runs per 9 innings in Milwaukee as opposed to 4.85 runs scored overall.

    The pitching staff is tremendous for the Brewers at home as well. They posted an ERA of 2.61 and a 1.01 WHIP.

    Teams are hitting just .192 against the Brewers at American Family Field. Eric Lauer has been lights out at home as well.

    Lauer goes into tonight with an ERA of 2.60 and a 0.98 WHIP, with a 1.38 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in Milwaukee this season. I’m siding with the Brewers on the runline at even money.


    Nationals vs. Brewers Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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