Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick – July 11

The MLB is set up with another great slate of baseball throughout July 11. Ten games are up on the board throughout Monday night. One of these games will be between the Chicago White Sox and the Cleveland Guardians. These two teams have struggled a bit on the season, but will look to grab the big win in this one. This game will throw the first pitch at around 7:10 PM Eastern time.

Chicago has earned a record of 41-43 throughout this season, which has them sitting in third place of the AL Central. The White Sox have won two games in a row and have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games. Chicago is two and a half games out of a wild card spot and five games out of the division lead. The White Sox will look for a big win on the road in this one.

The Guardians have put up a record of 41-42 so far on the season, which has them in second place of the AL Central. Cleveland is coming off a loss in their last game and are 2-8 throughout their last 10 matchups. The Guardians are two games out on a wild card and four and a half games behind the division leading Minnesota Twins. Cleveland will look to step up early on Monday night.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. The White Sox have been solid on the season, but will look to bounce back early in this one. Cleveland has struggled a bit in their recent stretch of games, which has dropped them out of the playoff picture. If either team can step up early, it could be enough to lead them to the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Chicago White Sox -1 ½ (+140) -115 Over 7 ½ (-110)
Cleveland Guardians +1 ½ (-175) -105 Under 7 ½ (-110)
Team Data Chicago White Sox Cleveland Guardians
Overall Record 41-43 41-42
Away/ Home Record 22-18 20-17
Batting Average .255 .246
Batting Average Away/ Home .272 .244
ERA 4.08 4.01
ERA Away/ Home 3.59 3.86

Betting Trends

Chicago White Sox

  • 6-4 in July games
  • 4-3 when playing on a Monday
  • 13-16 against division rivals
  • 18-26 in night games
  • 33-33 against right handers
  • 18-22 after a win
  • 20-22 against team with a losing record

Cleveland Guardians

  • 2-8 in July
  • 4-4 when playing on Monday
  • 18-17 against divisional opponents
  • 21-21 in night games
  • 25-29 against right handed starters
  • 16-22 after a loss
  • 18-14 against team with a losing record

These two teams have met up five times throughout the season. The first three games were in Cleveland between April 20 and 21. The Guardians swept the season series by a combined score of 19-5. The next two games were in Chicago. Cleveland won the first game of that set 12-9, but the White Sox the most recent game 4-1.

Offense

The White Sox have been solid at the plate throughout this season. Chicago has a batting average of .255, which is 4th in the league. The White Sox have earned a .311 OBP, which is 18th in the MLB. Chicago has put up an OPS of .690, which is 21st in the league. The White Sox have hit .247 against right handers on the season.

Cleveland has been solid hitting the ball as well on the season. The Guardians have a .246 batting average, which is 12th in the MLB. Cleveland has posted an on base percentage of .310, which is 19th in the league. The Guardians have earned a .692 OPS, which is 18th in the MLB. Cleveland has a BA of .257 against righties.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look to get their bats going early in this one. The Guardians have struggled a bit as of late, but will look to bounce back early in this one. Chicago will look to step up as they try to move up in the standings. If either team can hit well early, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

I expect Lance Lynn to get the start on the mound for Chicago in this one. Lynn has started in 5 games this season, going 1-1 in those matchups. He has posted a 5.33 ERA and a WHIP of 1.333 in those outings. Lynn’s last start was against the Minnesota Twins. He gave up six hits and five runs through five innings in the no decision.

Cal Quantrill will likely get the nod at pitcher for the Guardians on Monday night. Quantrill has earned a record of 4-5 throughout his 15 starts this season. He has put up an ERA of 3.86 and a 1.297 WHIP in his starts. Quantrill pitched four innings in his last start against the Detroit Tigers. He gave up eight hits and three earned runs in the losing decision.

These two pitchers have been solid this season and will look for a big win in this one. Lynn missed a portion of this season with injury. The Guardians have a slight edge in the bullpen in this one. Cleveland’s relievers have a 3.82 ERA, which is 17th in the league. The White Sox’s bullpen has a combined ERA of 4.16, which is 20th in the MLB.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. The White Sox have struggled against Cleveland on the season and will look to bounce back early in this one. Chicago will look for Lance Lynn to get going after a rough first few starts. If the White Sox can grab the early lead, I think they can earn the win.

Bovada has Chicago listed as a -115 against the money line in this one. This implies that the White Sox will win this game around 53.5 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate. Chicago will look to come out fast as Cleveland continues to struggle as of late. As slight favorites, I like the value on the White Sox to earn the win.

The Bet
Chicago White Sox
-115
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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