White Sox vs. Rays MLB Pick – July 21st

The Chicago White Sox and Tampa Bay Rays will do it all over again on Sunday following a pitching duel Saturday night. Lucas Giolito and Ryan Yanbrough went toe-to-toe without allowing a run until Giolito broke. Yanbrough gave up just 2 hits before he handed the game off to the bullpen. Giolito, on the other hand, pitched into the 7th inning and yielded a deep bomb to Avisail Garcia to snap the scoreless deadlock. The White Sox got a last-ditch effort from James McCann with a deep ball to give Emilio Pagan a rare blown opportunity.

An excellent game by Giolito, but he got zero run support to work with. As the White Sox develop offensively in the next couple of years, things are likely to get easier for him in that regard, though. For the Rays, they showed why their pitching staff ranks at the top of the major leagues. Statistically, the Rays are only trailing the Dodgers for 1st as a collective unit.

Now, if Blake Snell was pitching like a Cy Young favorite again, and Tyler Glasnow didn’t get injured, we could be talking about the Rays with an ERA hovering below 3.00. They still possess an impressive 3.45 ERA as a group despite Snell failing to duplicate last season. Glasnow is expected to be out until at least the end of August.

He had an ERA of 1.86 when he had to exit with an elbow injury. Reports suggest that he is gone until the end of August, but that could very well linger and the Rays ultimately shut him down for the year. We’ve seen that happen countless times in the past when a player gets behind on the rehab timeline. It all makes the acquisition of Charlie Morton the most important move they made. They still have a durable rotation and a stable of hurlers in the bullpen to assist. Snell will get the nod here against the White Sox, while the Sox will counter with rookie Dylan Cease. Head below for our free White Sox vs. Rays pick.

Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Rays -260/White Sox +220
  • O/U: 8

Pitching Matchup:

  • Dylan Cease (1-1, 5.73 ERA)
  • Blake Snell (5-7, 4.55 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Dylan Cease will make the third start of his career Sunday after outings against the Tigers and Royals. The Tigers are 29th offensively and the Royals are 25th, so he hasn’t faced much of a challenge. Despite getting bad offenses in his first taste of major league bats, Cease wasn’t too sharp, as he posted an ERA of 5.73 and 1.55 WHIP.

He’s surrendered 12 hits and a total of 9 runs, 7 of which were earned, in 11 innings of work. Prior to getting called up to the major leagues, Cease was knocked for a 4.48 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 68.1 innings, so his effort against the Tigers and Royals was pretty consistent.

The Tigers and Royals are one of the closest things to a minor league offense in the majors. With that in mind, his ERA of 5.73 sounds about right in comparison to his work in the minors. The Rays aren’t a top-flight offense, but better in 20th with 4.61 runs per game. Cease also has to worry about Snell mowing down his teammates Sunday.

Snell has been pitching much better recently, with a 2.25 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in his last three contests. That includes back-to-back performances against the dangerous Yankees. Snell has been a better performer at the Trop, as he’s posted a 3.17 ERA and 1.08 WHIP at home opposed to a 5.98 ERA and 1.48 WHIP on the road.

Note that Chicago are hitting just .217 with 4 runs scored on Snell in 69 at-bats. The Rays own the 2nd best bullpen in the majors as well with a 3.75 ERA. The White Sox pen was sharp last night, but are typically below average with an ERA of 4.57. Tampa likely responds in this spot after a rough Friday night against the White Sox.

The Bet
RAYS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.