White Sox vs. Royals MLB Pick – June 7th

We can no longer say that the Chicago White Sox and Kansas City Royals are a battle of the basement in the AL Central. The White Sox are in front of the Tigers, so we have the third best in the division against the bottom, which is currently being held by the Royals. I don’t see much changing there. It’s likely that the Royals are going to be at the bottom at the end of the season as well.

If Homer Bailey is in your starting rotation, there’s a good bet that the team is pretty bad. He’s a cheap veteran that can chew up innings, albeit allow a healthy number of runs in the process. Bailey is expected to be on the mound for the Royals this evening.

The White Sox have been playing better baseball lately and are perhaps setting themselves up for a comeback in two or three years. They were on a five-game winning streak recently, which is their longest winning streak of the season. The White Sox are 6-3 in their previous nine games, but enter Friday on a two-game skid. The Nationals topped them in a brief interleague series before getting the day off Thursday.

It was a travel day for the White Sox, as they head to Kansas City for a weekend series against the Royals. The Royals go into Friday on a long five-game losing streak and have losses in eight of their last nine games. That’s an easy way to get a ticket to the bottom of the AL Central with a record of 19-43.

The Royals are also tied for last in the major leagues with the Baltimore Orioles. Homer Bailey has helped out in that sense. He starts for the Royals, while the White Sox will go with former Yankee, Ivan Nova. Head below for our free White Sox vs. Royals pick.

Chicago White Sox vs. K.C. Royals Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Royals -120/White Sox +100
  • O/U: 10

Pitching Matchup:

  • Ivan Nova (3-5, 6.24 ERA)
  • Homer Bailey (4-6, 6.05 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

The White Sox have been showing some fight lately so that’s a good sign. It isn’t like this team is completely empty. Their lineup does have some capable hitters, notably Jose Abreu and Yoan Moncada who lead the team with 16 and 12 HR’s, respectively. They need a couple more pieces, but are on a good track. Moncada is only 24 years old, so he is a guy they can build around. Along with Moncada, Tim Anderson is only 25 and a terrific contact hitter with a batting average of .322. With respects to their pitching staff, you might want to shield your eyes, though.

Lucas Giolito has been improving considerably, but they need somebody like Dylan Covey and Reynaldo Lopez to find their element. Nova is an aging veteran and doesn’t figure to be in their long-term plans, so he’s not as important for their future. Nova enters this one with an ERA of 6.24 and 1.64 WHIP.

He goes into KC with an ERA of 3.32 and 1.26 WHIP in his last three outings. That’s better for Nova compared to what he was producing earlier in the season. However, there was one quality outing that kind of skewed those numbers in his direction. In two of his last three showings, Nova gave up 16 hits and 7 runs in 14 innings. His lone good start was against the Royals, though, which could bode well for him today.

My issue with Nova in this game is the price that the oddsmakers are offering. There is something fishy about it with Homer Bailey. Bailey is the favorite, yet he has been having a rougher time recently than Nova. The overall numbers suggest that Bailey has been better, but he enters with a 9.31 ERA and 1.86 WHIP in his last three outings.

He’s given up at least 4 runs in three of his last four games. Bailey also owns a 1.86 WHIP and .404 OBA in his last three appearances as well. The price is a little weird to me here. They’re almost begging you to take the White Sox. I have no confidence in Bailey here, but it’s almost like the oddsmakers think Nova is going to take a beating. Either Nova, Bailey, or both are likely going to get hit hard. I’d suggest a look at the OVER if you’re looking for a Friday MLB selection.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.