Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick – Monday, August 19th

A busy weekend of MLB action is in the books. The Monday night slate is a little lighter than normal with just nine games on the docket. Our attention has been drawn to a matchup of American League Central squads for our featured pick.

The Chicago White Sox are in Minnesota for the opener of a three-game set with the division-leading Twins. The hosts enter this series riding a four-game winning streak for which the bats have been quite lively. The visitors haven’t been as fortunate with a mark of 2-3 over their last five games.

Minnesota has a 2.5-game lead over the 2nd place Cleveland Indians in the Central, while the White Sox are 20.5 games behind. The Twins currently have the 3rd best record in the AL, behind only the Houston Astros and New York Yankees.

The division leaders are big favorites for tonight’s game, but head-to-head matchups of the two clubs have been competitive this season. Let’s take a closer look at this contest, starting with the game line.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals, 7:05 PM EST, MASN2

Spread:

  • White Sox +1 ½ (-102)
  • Twins -1 ½ (-118)
Money line:

  • White Sox +184
  • Twins -198
Total Points:

  • Over 9.5 (-122)
  • Under 9.5 (+102)

Betting odds provided by Sportsbetting.ag

White Sox vs. Twins Pick:

Chicago spent the weekend out on the West Coast for a four-game set with the Los Angeles Angels. It turned out to be a rough four days as the club dropped three of four. In Sunday’s finale, they were pounded to the tune of 9-2.

That series loss came on the heels of the club holding its own at home versus the Houston Astros. After losing the series opener, the White Sox bounced back to win the final two games of the set, including a 13-9 slugfest in the final tilt.

Minnesota was in Texas for the weekend pounding the tar out of the Rangers. They swept all four games in the set, winning the series by a combined margin of 35-19. In yesterday’s finale, they picked up a 6-3 win behind a three-run triple from Jorge Polanco in the 8th inning.

For the early part of last week, the Twins were in Milwaukee splitting a pair with the Brewers. The club has won six of its last eight games, a turnaround from a four-game skid at the beginning of the month. Minnesota begins the week with a 2.5-game lead over the Indians in the Central.

The Matchup

REC STRE L10 STD RS RA
White Sox 55-68 L2 4-6 3-AL Central 518 636
Minnesota 76-48 W4 6-4 1-AL Central 722 578

This series closes out a seven-game road swing for the White Sox. They’re 1-3 thus far and stand at 25-37 in away games for the year. The club has fared a little better on the home field at 30-31 to date. For the month of August, the White Sox check-in at 9-9.

The team is 2-3 over it’s last five and 6-4 over its last 10 games. Chicago has managed to get the win in three of its last five series. The team’s run differential on the season is -118. Just three other AL squads have a lower mark than that.

Tonight’s game marks the start of a six-game homestand for the Twins. The team just closed out a six-game road trip for which they went 5-1. Minnesota has a record of 36-26 at home and 40-22 on the road for the year.

The club has won four of its last five and six of its last 10 games. The Twins are 11-7 for the month of August, but just 2-2-1 for the last five series. The club’s run differential of +144 is 3rd in the AL, behind only the Astros and Yankees.

The Bats

HR RBI AVG OBP SLG RSL5
White Sox 134 494 .255 .309 .402 34
Minnesota 240 696 .270 .338 .499 40

It’s no contest at the plate, but both sides have been putting up a good amount of runs recently. Yoan Moncada is batting .301 to lead the White Sox, but he’s on the IL with a hamstring strain. Jose Abreu is the team leader with 26 homers and 89 RBIs. Jorge Polanco leads the Twins with a .295 BA. Mak Kepler is tops with 33 HRs, while Eddie Rosario leads with 82 ribbies.

Starting Pitchers

W-L IP ERA WHIP K/9 OPS
Ivan Nova-R 8-9 147.2 4.51 1.35 5.42 .803
Kyle Gibson-R 11-5 132.1 4.28 1.32 8.77 .721

Nova has 25 starts on the year. He has been pitching really well of late with wins in four of his last five outings. For his last start, he allowed one run over nine innings in a victory over the Astros. Gibson has 25 total appearances this year and 24 starts. He has allowed 10 earned runs over his last three games. Last time out, he gave up three over five innings in a no-decision versus the Brewers.

The Bullpens

ERA SV IP OPS WHIP K/9
White Sox 4.40 25 419.2 .756 1.44 8.24
Minnesota 4.42 37 421.2 .755 1.37 9.31

Despite the vast disparity in records on the year, the bullpens aren’t all that far apart. Nova has been a workhorse with 17 innings pitched over his last two games. For his last 10 starts, he has pitched five innings or more nine times. Gibson has had a number of brief appearances over his last 10 games. He has pitched five innings or more six times over that span.

Previous Meetings

For the season series, Minnesota holds a 7-3 advantage. The clubs will hook up for another three-game set at the end of the month in Chicago. The final meeting of the season will be a three-game series at the Twins in the middle of September.

The Verdict

The Twins are a much better team on paper, and they have been smoking of late as well. It’s easy to see why oddsmakers have installed them as big favorites tonight. However, Nova has been dealing recently, so it wouldn’t be stunning to see the White Sox take the series opener. That’s the direction we’re rolling as we’ll go with Chicago for the upset win.

My Pick
CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Chris Feery / Author

Chris has been covering sports professionally since 2014. Initially focused on the NFL and College Football, he has branched out to cover all of the other major team sports such as MLB, NHL, NBA, and College Basketball. Chris also has extensive experience in the world of fantasy sports. His work has been recognized on two separate occasions by the Fantasy Sports Writer's Association. From parlays to power rankings and previews to picks, Chris prides himself on delivering exceptional content with actionable information.