White Sox vs. Twins MLB Pick – September 17th

The Minnesota Twins got by on Monday night with a 5-3 win over the White Sox at Target Field. Despite allowing 2 runs early on, Jose Berrios settled down and went 7.1 innings with only those early runs on his resume. The offense took care of the rest, including leadoff man Luis Arraez, who had a nice night with 3 hits and 2 RBI’s.

The Indians were stationary, as they didn’t have a game last night. They will open up a series against the Tigers tonight. That’s a massive series for the Indians. They cannot afford to slip up because the Twins almost have a lead that the Indians will not be able to overcome.

The Twins have built up a 5-game lead in the AL Central, so the Indians are not far away from being removed from that race. Their focus should be on just getting into the Wild Card Game at this point. They are closer in that respect, with a 1.5-game deficit against the Rays. The Rays have a tough series out west against the Dodgers, so the Tribe must use the Tigers as a punching bag this week.

As far as the Twins are concerned, they are in a really good spot at the moment. While they haven’t been mentioned much this season as a favorite for the World Series, the Twins could be a sleeper candidate. There is only one other team in the majors who have scored more than runs than the Twins this season, so it’d be foolish to ignore Minnesota in October.

They are going to need strong pitching for a long run in the postseason. Somebody like Martin Perez will be expected to be an x-factor for the Twins. The Royals had Jason Vargas during their run to the World Series, and Perez could act as somebody similar for the Twins. Perez gets the nod against Ross Detwiler on Monday night. Head below for our free White Sox vs. Twins pick.

Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Twins -145/White Sox +125
  • O/U: 9.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Ross Detwiler (2-5, 6.79 ERA)
  • Martin Perez (10-7, 4.89 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

This was supposed to be Lucas Giolito’s start, but Ross Detwiler will be called on in this spot. Giolito has been shut down for the remainder of the season because of a lat strain. It doesn’t appear to be anything serious, but there is nothing to play for down the stretch and there isn’t much time left in the regular season. Giolito will end the season with a career-high ERA, as he will look to lead the White Sox to something more promising in 2020.

The White Sox aren’t expecting much out of Detwiler, who has struggled when he’s had his chances. He’s largely acted as a spot starter who has filled in because of injuries. Detwiler has made 15 appearences and 9 starts in 2019. Not many of them have gone well. He hasn’t made a pitch in the majors since September 2nd against the Indians. In his last three starts, Detwiler has gotten beaten for a 7.11 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 12.2 innings of work.

Things have been really ugly for him on the road in 2019. Detwiler has posted a 11.42 ERA and 2.54 WHIP in 17.1 innings. He has allowed 31 hits and 23 runs in those 17.1 innings. That’s incredibly poor. Detwiler has also had a horrific time against the Twins in his career. The Twins are hitting .351 with 17 runs scored in 94 at-bats. They should be able to get to Detwiler early and often in this meeting.

That’s not to say that Perez is going to have a solid outing, though. The White Sox have done a great job hitting lefties in 2019 and happen to get a lefty in Perez tonight. They’re hitting .275 as opposed to .244 against right-handed pitching. Perez has been off the mark recently as well.

He’s posted an ERA of 8.56 and 1.76 WHIP in his previous three contests. He hasn’t been too good at Target Field in Minnesota, either. Perez owns a 4.96 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in Minnesota. The total should be 10.5 here, but we’re getting a full point lower. Consider the OVER in Minnesota on Tuesday night.

The Bet
OVER 9.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.