White Sox vs. Twins MLB Pick – September 18th

The Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins got into a fun showdown last night in extras. It was a back and forth affair, with a 5-5 game going into the 10th inning turning into an 8-6 lead for the White Sox in the top of the 12th frame. Given the White Sox pitching issues, there were no guarantees that they were going to hold onto the lead, though.

The Twins put runners on 2nd and 3rd with no outs immediately and put stress on their pitching staff to get out of the jam. Jose Ruiz got Miguel Sano to strikeout, but that was all he could accomplish. The Twins got the tying runs home and then loaded the bases up to go for the win. That led to a HBP with the Twins notching a 9-8 win in unlikely fashion.

It’s not how the Twins wrote it up, but wins count all the same. The Indians blasted the score by a score of 7-2, so Minnesota remain 4.5 games up on Cleveland. The magic number is down to seven games for the Twins. Regardless of what the Indians do, if the Twins can win seven of their remaining eleven games, then they will be the new AL Central champions.

Minnesota haven’t celebrated a divisional championship since 2010. They went on to lose to the Yankees in the NLDS that season. It was the same song for them in 2009, as they fell to the Yankees in the NLDS after winning the division. Getting bounced by the Yankees in 2019 may be a realistic scenario this year as well. The Twins could certainly be a sleeper team, though. Jake Odorizzi will make an appearance as the Twins starting hurler tonight. He will take on Dylan Covey in this one. Head below for our free White Sox vs. Twins pick.

Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Twins -285/White Sox +235
  • O/U: 10.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Dylan Covey (1-8, 7.89 ERA)
  • Jake Odorizzi (14-6, 3.60 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

This isn’t what Dylan Covey envisioned in his third season in the major leagues. After posting an ERA of 5.18 following a terrible time in first year, Covey was hoping from more improvements. That hasn’t been the case and Covey has been pitching like the same struggling rookie we watched in 2017. Covey finished the season with an ERA of 7.71 that season and is on pace for something similar in 2019.

You want to see progress in the third season, but Covey is likely going to find it difficult to stick in the rotation next season. He will definitely be in need of a strong spring. The White Sox will be in deep trouble as a team if they have to settle for Covey. He goes into Wednesday with a 7.98 ERA and 1.76 WHIP, which shouldn’t be enough to earn starts at this point. However, it’s the end of the season and the White Sox are playing for nothing. Perhaps he can get his confidence going down the stretch, but his most recent efforts have been abysmal. Covey has a staggering 24.16 ERA, 3.79 WHIP, and .585 OBA in his last three starts. He was exploited for a whopping 19 hits and 17 earned runs in just 6.1 innings.

Covey’s most recent performance against the Twins was a mess as well. The Twins whacked Covey for 5 hits and 5 earned runs without recording an out back on July 28th. Minnesota advanced for a blowout win of 11-1. The game was lost before the White Sox notched an out in the game. That does not bode well against Jake Odorizzi on Wednesday at Target Field. Odorizzi heads into this one with a 3.86 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in his last three games.

He hasn’t allowed greater than 3 runs since July 24th against the Yankees for eight straight outings. Odorizzi has also been sharp against the White Sox in his career. They are hitting just .211 with 1 home runs against him in 142 at-bats. It looks like bad news all the way around for the White Sox on Wednesday. Consider going with a play on the Twins’ runline in this meeting.

*Dylan Covey scratched.

The Bet
TWINS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.