The Yankees take the trip to south beach for a weekday series against the Miami Marlins. The Yanks just got a much needed win over the Orioles on Sunday, after getting blasted by them in two consecutive days. A 5-3 win yesterday leads into their meeting with the Marlins Monday night. Considering who is on the mound for the Yanks tonight, it appears to spell another win for them. But that is why they play the games, and there is a pitcher on the other side tonight that has been playing a torrid pace at home in Miami. The story of this game, though, is Yanks’ pitcher Masahiro Tanaka. Since coming back from his injury, the Yankee ace has picked up where he left off as the centerpiece of their pitching rotation. He had a bit of rust in his first two games, but hasn’t looked back since. The Miami Marlins send out Tom Koehler, who should find it nice to be back at home after three starts on the road in a row.
No baseball pick from me yesterday, as I had to take a day off after a few losses in a row from myself. Things were going swimmingly late for our pick on Saturday, but a late collapse from the bullpens sent it OVER the total. I haven’t been getting the runs when I need them, and the pitching hasn’t been showing up when I need it. It’s been that kind of run for me lately. However, three losses in a row should be a blip on the radar for any sports bettor. Anybody that has gambled know those stretches will come, especially in baseball over the course of a long summer. Now with my day off in the past, it’s time to bring home a winner to start the week off well.
N.Y. Yankees vs. Miami Marlins
Masahiro Tanaka (4-1, 2.48 ERA) vs. Tom Koehler (7-4, 4.12 ERA)
Much was made of the Yankees signing Tanaka a couple of years ago. He was a phenom in his home country of Japan, as he dominated the Japanese baseball scene there. There was a huge bidding war for Tanaka, and the likely favorites for him ended up obtaining his rights. So when Tanaka had to sit out for a considerable amount of time, it was certainly a blow to the Yankees. However, back now, Tanaka has looked healthy and thrusted right back into the number 1 spot of the Yanks’ rotation. He allowed 4 runs, followed by 3 runs in his first two starts back, but since then he hasn’t allowed more than a run in four starts. In his last three he allowed just a single run in each start, posting an ERA of 1.33 and 0.64 WHIP. He’s also excelled on the road, with a 0.89 ERA and 0.43 WHIP.
Home is where Tom Koehler wants to be, it’s home sweet home for him. Take a look at this numbers on the road versus at home. On the road he has a 6.57 ERA, but at home that number goes to 1.57. The most he’s allowed at home is 3 runs, which occurred once. His last three starts in Miami yielded results of 0, 0, and 1 run allowed. However, he has put more than a runner on per inning in Miami, with a 1.08 WHIP. That is good, but he is going to need to be even better than that with Tanaka pitching. No need for me to ignore Tanaka in this game. I have to take the Yanks to defeat the Marlins by more than a run.
PICK: YANKEES -1.5 (+111)