Yankees vs. Rangers MLB Pick – September 29th

The stage is set for the New York Yankees in the ALDS. They will be meeting the Minnesota Twins in the first-round of the postseason next week. The Yankees are favored, naturally, but it could make out for a tricky series. Minnesota have had an underappreciated offense all season. While they’ve been at the top of major offensive categories, the Twins haven’t gotten as much fanfare.

So, the Yankees are going to have to take their opponent seriously. Go into that one lazy and expecting everything handed to them and they will lose. The Yankees are expected to get a little experimental in their final game of the regular season.

Masahiro Tanaka was looking at getting the start against the Rangers on Sunday. However, the Yankees are going to get in another direction to an extent. Tanaka is expected to pitch in this one, but he is not expected to do any work in the 1st inning.

Chad Green is likely to get the starting nod before handing the ball over to Tanaka as a bulk reliever. The Yankees haven’t experienced much with this before, and Aaron Boone has indicated he’s ready to use the bulk reliever method in the postseason. In the final game of the regular season, the Yankees are expected to go that route.

Waiting this long to try it out doesn’t make too much sense, but maybe Boone will look like a genius in the postseason. This isn’t a new method, though, as we’ve seen several teams use it. The Rays were one of the teams who got the ball rolling on doing it last year and it’s caught on across the majors. It just isn’t something we’ve seen out of the Yankees a whole lot. Lance Lynn is expected to get the final nod for the Rangers in 2019. Head below for our free Yankees vs. Rangers pick.

N.Y. Yankees vs. Texas Rangers Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Yankees -185/Rangers +155
  • O/U: 10.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Chad Green (4-4, 4.24 ERA)
  • Lance Lynn (15-11, 3.76 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Chad Green is going to be a critical cog for the Yankees in the postseason. His name may not carry the most attention, but Green is going to be called on to pitch in tight spots for the Yankees. It could be a tied game late and Green gets called on to go and get 3 outs. He could develop into an x-factor for the Yankees.

Green has made 14 starts and a total of 53 appearences this season. He hasn’t made a start since September 15th when the Yankees went with the bulk reliever method. So, they have done it before, just not as much than other teams out there in the majors. Prior to that start, Green pitched 2 innings as a starter against this Rangers team. It worked out well, as the Yankees won a 4-1 decision. He owns an ERA of 4.29 and 1.09 WHIP on the road in 2019. Very vanilla numbers for Green, but he’s been good in spots.

Masahiro Tanaka has been vanilla as well, though Tanaka should be better than vanilla. His job description and salary suggest they want more out of him. Tanaka heads into Sunday with a 4.47 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. In his previous three starts, he’s posted a 5.06 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Tanaka has not been effective on the road, so if the Yankees can get away with avoiding playing him on the road, they’ll likely be better off. Tanaka has a 6.16 ERA and 1.39 WHIP on the road as opposed to a 3.10 ERA and 1.09 WHIP at home.

The Rangers’ offense has scored on Tanaka before. The power numbers have been pretty solid against him, with 8 long balls swatted and 22 runs scored in 149 at-bats. Conversely, Lance Lynn has allowed 4 home runs and 8 runs against the Yankees in 94 at-bats. Lynn has had a steady arm for the Rangers throughout 2019. He and Mike Minor deserved more rather than bowing out on September 29th. Lynn has allowed 3 or fewer runs in nine of his previous eleven starts. In his last three outings, he’s looked good with a 3.26 ERA and 1.19 WHIP.

There isn’t much respect for Lynn in this contest, though. The oddsmakers have the Yankees as heavy favorites over the Rangers on Sunday. That said, oddsmakers could put any number out there and the Yankees would still catch bets. Just like the Brewers yesterday, there doesn’t appear to be any value on the Yanks here. Instead of laying that much juice, consider going with the underdog on Sunday afternoon in Arlington.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.