Yankees vs. Rays MLB Pick – July 5th

The New York Yankees needed extra innings to dispatch the Tampa Bay Rays, but they ultimately got it done with an 8-4 win. The Yanks got 5 runs in the top of the 10th inning to bail Aroldis Chapman out in a big way. Chapman had an opportunity to close out the Rays with a 3-1 lead in the 9th but that was flushed away. Gary Sanchez sent a towering shot to left field to make it an 8-3 game just minutes after the Yankees made it a 5-3 game.

I’ve been on the losing side of UNDER wagers in similar fashion, so if that’s what you were on, I know what it feels like. In fact, in 2013, I lost a bet on an UNDER in a 0-0 game going into the 14th inning. Look up June 5th, 2013 between the White Sox and Mariners. That’s what you call a bad beat, and still stands as the worst beat of my sports betting career.

Let’s move past the negativity, though, and look towards producing a winning day today. I was just trying to make those of you who were on that bet feel better. Bad beats are impossible to avoid. Anyway, with the win, the Yankees extended their lead in the AL East over the Rays by 7.5 games. Everyone, including myself, believed that it was only a matter of time before the Yankees broke this division wide open.

People were counting down the days until they got their big guns back in the lineup and then the domination would commence. Don’t expect it to be different in the second-half. The Yankees may hit a dry spell once, but their stride is unlikely to be bumped off track too much, or at least, enough for the Rays or Red Sox to mount a comeback.

The Red Sox are way back with a 11-game gap between themselves and the yanks. The most logical route for the Red Sox to the postseason is going to be a wildcard. New York will send out Masahiro Tanka to the bump, while rookie Brendan McKay is scheduled to start for the Rays. McKay just made his major league debut against the Rangers and was flawless. Head below for our free Yankees vs. Rays pick.

N.Y. Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Yankees -122/Rays +102
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Masahiro Tanaka (5-5, 3.74 ERA)
  • Brendan McKay (1-0, 0.00 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

The Tampa Bay Rays are very high on Brandan McKay and he showed why in his debut against the Rangers. Texas were clueless at the dish, as they were able to record just 1 hit and no runs in 6 innings. This carried over from what McKay was doing in the minor leagues. McKay posted an ERA of 1.08 with a 0.76 WHIP in 25 innings. The Rays couldn’t wait any longer and had to call him up to give the Rays a boost. With the status of Tyler Glasnow in the air for the rest of the season, they need somebody else to give the Rays an extra shot of adrenaline.

Having said that, the Rays are already 1st in the major leagues, with an ERA of 3.02 from their starters. However, I still believe that their pitching has to go above and beyond for them to become a major threat. The offense just doesn’t have enough punch to help out much. Even if the Rays make a trade for a bat, which they likely will, it’s going to be tough. Now, if McKay jumps into the majors and blows the doors off everyone, things could get interesting. With respects to the wildcard race, that is.

Masahiro Tanaka has been solid against the Rays in his career, as they’re hitting .238 against him in 172 at-bats. Could he be better this season? I’d certainly say so. He was billed as a perennial ace when he entered Major League Baseball. An ERA of 3.74 without a doubt isn’t elite, albeit, still solid to make a lot of money pitching.

Tanaka is coming off a brutal outing against the Red Sox, allowing 4 hits and 6 runs in 0.2 innings. He couldn’t even record 3 outs before getting yanked. I’m under the impression that he is in for a bounce back spot in Tampa tonight. The Rays are just 19th in the majors with 4.6 runs scored per game. Conversely, the Yanks are 1st with 5.78 runs notched. I think McKay is going to be a surprising challenge for them, but the Yankees likely figure him out by the 4th or 5th inning. McKay is shaping up to be a really good pitcher, though this is one tough lineup to hold at bay. Consider a play on the Yankees on Friday night at the Trop.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.