Yankees vs. Rays MLB Pick – July 6th

The New York Yankees hit the repeat button on Friday night, as they won in extra innings for the second straight night. They added multiple runs as well, with 4 runs in the top of the 11th to bury the Rays. Their grip continues to get tighter and tighter in the AL East, while the Rays slowly fade off into the background. Isn’t that what everyone saw coming?

I think it was only a matter of time. The Yankees were edging the Rays out when their lineup was tattered with injuries. So, it made sense once they got the heavy lumber back that they were going to pull away. No surprise there.

The Yankees needed just a little extra time to get their offense firing on all cylinders in the last two games. They scored 4 runs in 9 innings, and then exploded for 4 in the 10th last night. On Thursday night it was more of the same, as the Yankees and Rays went into extras tied at 4.

The Yankees poured it on with a 4-run inning to secure the win. It’s another win for the Bronx Bombers, who now have 57 of them with a record of 57-29. The only team who boasts a better record than the Yankees are the Dodgers. And the Dodgers didn’t have to deal with injuries like the Yankees did.

It’s going to be interesting to see what the Yankees do at the deadline. I think if they play their cards right, they could be in the driver’s seat to be the favorites for the World Series. A starting pitcher seems like a lock at this point, but choosing the right one is going to be the tricky part.

Yankees’ fans remember what happened with Sonny Gray. That said, it’s hard to go wrong with a lot of the pitchers that could be available. An upgrade over CC Sabathia would be a good look for the Yanks heading into August and September. Not that Sabathia has been horrible, but adding an ace changes the dynamic of this rotation. Sabathia gets the call tonight to face off against Blake Snell. Head below for our free Yankees vs. Rays pick.

N.Y. Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Rays -142/Yankees +122
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • CC Sabathia (5-4, 4.04 ERA)
  • Blake Snell (5-7, 4.87 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

This has been a rather interesting season for Blake Snell. Interesting not in a good way. After notching the Cy Young in the American League last season, Snell has had major issues trying to duplicate what he did then. It isn’t easy to pinpoint why Snell is having such a large drop-off, but he needs to get it going to help out his team. It’s crazy to think that the Rays are 1st in terms of production from their starting rotation.

As a collective unit, they own an ERA of 3.02 in 394 innings pitched. This is with Snell having an ERA of 4.87, so just think about if he was pitching at a Cy Young level. It wouldn’t even be close between the Rays and No. 2. Having said that, the Rays absolutely need a charge in their offense.

Runs are being scored at a record rate this season and the Rays don’t have the firepower to match a team like the Yankees in a postseason series. Tampa are 19th with an average of 4.6 runs per game. Pitching wins championships in the postseason, but there also has to be offense considering how much power is out there on other rosters in 2019.

Snell has surrendered 8 home runs and 24 runs to the Yankees in 157 at-bats. He’s had major issues keeping the ball down and in the park against this lineup. Considering how much Snell has been struggling this year, expect the Yankees to be able to exploit him Saturday.

I don’t think they wait until extra innings to get going as well. Sabathia has seen just about the same number of at-bats against the Rays in his career with 147. He’s allowed 6 runs and 12 runs as opposed to the 24 that Snell has surrendered.

The oddsmakers are giving too much credit to Snell here. They’ve been doing it all season and still aren’t adjusting accordingly. Fortunately, I’ve been able to take advantage of it a few times in the past already. I will look to fade Snell as a favorite on Saturday against the Yankees.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.