Yankees vs. Red Sox MLB Pick – July 26th

The New York Yankees have been getting all of the headlines recently, but the Boston Red Sox had other ideas Thursday at Fenway Park. They got working on Masahiro Tanaka early, as they put up 7 runs in the 1st inning, which included a monster shot by Xander Bogaerts.

The ball cleared carried 451-feet over the Green Monster to get the scoring started for the Red Sox. That was just the beginning of a 7-run frame by the Red Sox. The Yankees stuck with Tanaka, and then continued to stick with him even though he had allowed 11 hits and 9 earned runs in 3.1 innings.

NHL goaltenders are all too familiar with being in this spot. They just don’t have it that particular night and the coaches aren’t throwing out a life preserver to get them out of the game. A Mitch Moreland ground-rule double was finally enough, though, but the Red Sox were already up 11-2.

The Red Sox added more to the scoreboard in that inning, as they went into the 5th with a huge 12-2 lead. At least for a night, the Red Sox were able to take some of the spotlight off the Yankees. The Yanks were fresh off that wild series against the Twins, with Yankee highlights on repeat.

In any event, the Yankees may have lost the battle last night, but they’re winning the war in the AL East. They’re in possession of a ten-game lead and would need a catastrophic failure to blow the division. One has to assume that they will be a better team at the trade deadline as well.

Despite the loss, the Yankees are in a terrific position and can easily bounce back from that game tonight. It will be up to James Paxton to follow up Tanaka with a better performance. The verdict is still out on Paxton, as people await to see what he does in the postseason. That will answer whether trading for him was worth it last season. Andrew Cashner, who was recently acquired from the Orioles, will try to settle in for the Red Sox tonight. Head below for our free Yankees vs. Red Sox pick.

N.Y. Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Yankees -135/Red Sox +115
  • O/U: 11.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • James Paxton (5-5, 4.20 ERA)
  • Andrew Cashner (9-5, 4.19 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Andrew Cashner was rolling right along with the Orioles and he ultimately got the call to pack up his bags and move to Boston. The stakes immediately went from 1 to 100 for Cashner, who was playing on a team going nowhere in Baltimore. And that’s generally been the case for Cashner throughout his entire career. When he was at his best in his career, Cashner was playing with a bad San Diego team, so he’s never been in this position before.

In his first taste of competitive baseball, Cashner was hit hard against a bad Blue Jays team for 8 hits and 5 earned runs in 5 innings. He had an opportunity to bounce back against his former team, the Orioles, but they got to him for 4 earned runs in 6 innings. Not entirely the best start to his career with the Red Sox. This is a pitcher who was on fire just prior to getting traded to the Red Sox, but he’s slowed down since.

Cashner posted an ERA of 3.83 with the O’s and that number has jumped to a 7.36 ERA in 11 innings with the Red Sox. I don’t see much relief in sight for Cashner, at least not on Friday against the Yankees. They’ve scored 25 runs on Cashner in 274 at-bats in his career. Nearly their entire lineup is hitting above .300 against Cashner, including Torres, Encarnacion, LeMahieu, Hicks, Judge, Voit, and Gregorius. The Red Sox had their fun at the plate last night, and I believe the Yanks will have their chance tonight.

That’s not to say that the Red Sox can’t get their runs tonight as well. Paxton has been rather average this season, and I’d say below average when he finds himself on the road. He goes into Fenway Park with a 4.78 ERA on the road compared to a 3.75 ERA at home. In his last three outings, Paxton posted an ERA of 4.70 with a 1.57 WHIP and .348 OBA. Both offenses are blazing hot and I wouldn’t want to step in front of that right now. At plus-money or close to even, the OVER looks like solid value Friday night in Boston.

The Bet
OVER 11.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.