Yankees vs. Red Sox MLB Pick – September 6th

The Boston Red Sox had a 9th inning rally stopped by the arm of Eddie Rosario last night. On a long flyball against the green monster, Rosario threw a laser from the outfield to home plate to record the final out of the game. A winning run would have tied the game up and put the winning run on 3rd base for the Red Sox. That’s what you call a closer.

The throw by Rosario added more space between the Indians and Twins. Minnesota go into the weekend with a 6.5-game lead in the AL Central. Barring a collapse in the next few weeks, the Twins are going into the postseason as divisional winners. They will get to skip the Wild Card Game, while the Indians’ future is up in the air.

The defending World Series champs are not going to be playing for anything in October. They have an outside shot of storming back to get a wildcard, but I think that throw by Rosario was a kill shot to their season. If they do comeback, it’ll have to be a 6.5-game hole they crawl out of. That doesn’t look like the most realistic goal, especially for a team who we’ve been waiting on for months now. That torrid winning pace just hasn’t come for the Red Sox. When you think they’re getting something going, nothing really happens.

Their rivals, the New York Yankees, have been the aggressors this season. They are cruising into Friday night with a 9.5-game lead in the AL East. The only thing they have to be concerned with now is topping the Astros in the American League for homefield advantage. Houston notched their 91st win last night, while the Yanks will be going for 92 tonight. Domingo German will be called on to start at Fenway, while newly acquired Jhoulys Chacin is expected for the Red Sox. Head below for our free Yankees vs. Red Sox pick.

N.Y. Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Yankees -160/Red Sox +130
  • O/U: 10.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Domingo German (17-3, 4.01 ERA)
  • Jhoulys Chacin (3-10, 5.79 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

David Price was originally scheduled to get the nod in this one tonight, but is scratched because of tightness in his wrist. The only pitch he has been able to throw is his fastball, with nothing working for him when it comes to his cutter and changeup. As an emergency option, the Red Sox signed former Milwaukee Brewer, Jhoulys Chacin.

The Brewers dumped Chacin after a season and a half in Milwaukee. He was canned after allowing 6 hits and 3 earned runs against the Reds in July. Chacin was struggling before that as well, having surrendered 7 hits and 6 earned runs to the Diamondbacks in 2.1 innings.

The Red Sox were getting desperate and Chacin was fortunately there to pick up. He finished with an ERA of 5.79 and .355 OBA. There’s a lot worse out there in rotations who haven’t been fired from their jobs, but the Brewers wanted to give some other guys a chance.

In two career outings at Fenway, Chacin has posted an ERA of 6.52. He will have to beat Domingo German, who is tied for the lead with 17 wins. German leads the majors in winning percentage with a record of 17-3. That is thanks to tremendous run support from the bats.

German has been fine with a 4.01 ERA, but pitching behind this offense helps immensely. He has been lights out at Yankee Stadium and could stand to improve a bit on the road in the postseason. German holds an impressive 2.35 ERA and 0.99 WHIP at home, though that falls to a 5.45 ERA and 1.28 WHIP on the road.

Despite an ERA of 5.45, he still has a record of 9-2 as a visitor. That only happens with excellent run support. The OVER is 9-2 in their previous 11 meetings and 13-3-2 in the last 18 at Fenway between the Yankees and Red Sox. That looks like the best bet in this one Friday night.

The Bet
OVER 10.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.