Yankees vs. Reds Pick – May 9th

We grabbed an MLB winner last night with the red hot Cardinals easily dispatching the ice cold Marlins in Miami. The 9-4 win was St. Louis’s eighth win in eleven games and put them into first place in the NL Central for the first time this season as the Cubs were (mercifully?) hailed out in Colorado and the Reds were shelled by the New York Yankees at Great American Ballpark.

Perhaps after years of suffering, the gods have in fact become Cubs fans, because if any team ever needed a rainout/cancellation more than the Cubs, I can’t think of them. The Cubs got one inning from their starter on Saturday and played 18 innings in the only night game on the Sunday schedule. That bullpen was TOAST but got an invaluable day to recover. The series wagers, if you had any, are voided by the rainout – and that is a good “no action” Vegas rule. I loved Colorado at +135 in this series, and though they are still a more than fair value, the fatigue advantage has now been mitigated.

The Cubs will play two today at Coors as both they and the Rockies will be jockeying for first place in their respective divisions.

Today’s MLB Pick:

New York Yankees -109 at Cincinnati Reds +101 (Total: 9)
C.C. Sabathia (2-1, 5.45 ERA) vs. Tim Adelman (1-1, 4.22 ERA)

The fatigue has to catch up sometime, right?? The Yankees shook off an 18-inning marathon and launched ten runs against the Reds last night despite the quick turn, but I have a feeling there is a little hangover this evening. The Reds are 6-2 on the current homestand and have been scoring runs in bunches, so a visit from C.C. Sabathia and his mid-five’s ERA could be what they need to get back on track tonight.

The Reds will give the ball to Tim Adelman, whom a couple of local people have affectionately referred to as “lunchmeat” because he isn’t glamorous or fancy, but darnit if he doesn’t get the job done. He gives the Reds a CHANCE to win every time he goes to the mound, which is really all you can ask for. If he can keep the Reds in the game, I think the offense will get to C.C. enough to grab a series-evening victory.

Both teams are insanely hot and playing well above expectations, so momentum isn’t a big factor today nor is current play. Instead, I’ll go against Sabathia in a pitcher-nightmare ballpark against a Reds offense doing major damage this week at home.



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