We cashed the UNDER 7 in Washington yesterday, as the Atlanta Braves ousted the Nationals, 3-2, for their eleventh straight win. I don’t think the Braves are getting the respect they deserve, as this winning streak has flown a bit under the radar. Because they aren’t the Red Sox or Yankees, or in another huge market, you won’t hear ESPN talk about the Braves much.
Our bet became kind of a nail biter at the end with a runner on 3rd with 1 out in the bottom of the 9th. If the runner scores we would have headed to extra innings in a 3-3 game and the best we could have hoped for was a push. After a bad break on Sunday, it was nice to catch the other end of the stick. I’m looking at another under for Tuesday night that looks like money to me.
Free MLB Pick:
New York Yankees +105 at Chicago White Sox -125 (Total: 7)
Hiroki Kuroda (10-6, 2.38 ERA) vs. Chris Sale (6-11, 2.92 ERA)
I took advantage of one of the hottest pitchers in Major League Baseball and I’m looking to do the same for tonight. Last night it was Minor, tonight it’s Kuroda. The numbers don’t like, and what the numbers show is a pitcher that has been lighting batters up consistently. Kuroda has been the lone bright spot of the Yankees’ season, as he has taken over C.C. Sabathia as the ace of this ball club. Kuroda’s 10-6 record should be much higher, but an inept offense has put a damper on that. Nevertheless, Kuroda’s ERA of 2.38 is quite fantastic. His low ERA is much in part to how he has been pitching lately. In his last three starts he has pitched well enough for a 0.86 ERA with a 0.90 WHIP! Anything under 2.00 is excellent, and another under 1.00 is in another dimension. In fact, in his last five starts, Kuroda allowed no runs in four of those games.
Chris Sale has nothing on that, but it doesn’t mean he hasn’t been bad either. The left-hander earned a spot on the AL All-Star reason for a reason, and has continued to pitch well other than his last start against the Cleveland Indians. However, other than that rocky start, Sale has been fairly dependable this season with an ERA of 2.92 and 1.05 WHIP. He also prefers to pitch at home where he has excelled. His ERA dips to 2.28 in this respect, with a WHIP of 0.89. Sale will benefit from pitching against a Yankees’ squad that is pretty brutal at hitting lefties, coming in with a .234 batting average.
Throw these terrific pitchers out of the picture for a second, and when you just focus on the offenses you see two struggling teams. This isn’t the same Yankees team of old, they are struggling to score runs badly. The last time they’ve scored 5 runs was on July 28th against the Tampa Bay Rays. I don’t see them scoring many on the road against Sale in this spot. Conversely, the White Sox have had their fair share of problems offensively, too. They did put 8 up yesterday with Andy Pettitte pitching, but they should come down to earth against Kuroda. With the price on this line continuing to rise, I am going to take the UNDER 7. It may very well dip to 6.5 by first pitch, but I would take it at 6.5 as well.
Free Pick: UNDER 7