Bellator 255 is this Friday, April 2nd, and will feature a world title fight in the Featherweight Division which also doubles as the semifinal to the Grand Prix Tournament.
Pitbull Freire will be defending his strap against the raging Emmanuel Sanchez. The winner will face the Bellator homegrown product and second-generation mixed martial artist, AJ McKee.
McKee looked amazing in his previous bout submitting a former world champion in Darrion Caldwell-from his guard! It was a neck crank that the veteran Caldwell didn’t see coming at all. AJ is a problem and I would actually favor him over the dominant Brazilian champion should Pitbull get the win this weekend.
We will cross that raging river once we get to it but first, let’s identify some of the best bets to make at Bellator 255.
💥 @PatricioPitbull vs. Emmanuel Sanchez 2️⃣, who takes it?
— BellatorMMA (@BellatorMMA) April 2, 2021
The betting odds are brought to us by one of the best sportsbooks on the planet, BetOnline. They continue to put out not only the betting lines before most of their competitors but they almost always have the most valuable betting odds available across the board up until fight time.
Here are the Bellator 255 betting odds, picks, predictions, and best bets.
Tyrell Fortune by Submission: +550
Here, you have a 7.5 to 1 betting favorite in Tyrell Fortune fighting Jack May, a journeyman at best. His professional record in mixed martial arts is 11-7. That is not very good.
I understand the betting odds and we, of course, can’t play them at such an expensive price tag.
If you want to grab Fortune to win by stoppage, you’re going to pay (-200). That is simply too much for me to play a method of victory. I really like to have plus money on these methods of victory because winning 50% or better on these types of bets is tough to sustain.
His submission prop is up over 5 to 1, though, and I think it is worth a small play. Hear me out. Jack May was submitted twice by arm triangle in 2018. We know he is weak off of his back. Most big lumbering guys are.
Tyrell does have one submission win on his record and no, it’s not likely he taps his opponent out on Friday night but in my opinion, it is more likely than the betting odds suggest. There aren’t many strong plays for this fight but I do like this one even if it’s just for half of a unit.
Pick: Fortune by Submission
Nieman Gracie (-110) vs Jason Jackson (-110)
Here is a betting line that surprised me at first! Nieman Gracie is a problem on the mat for the entire division. This guy just submitted Ed Ruth, an All-American Penn State wrestler.
We know he has the sauce to control and tap out the veteran Jason Jackson on the mat but you have to give the edge in the striking department to JJ. I think Jackson is a solid fighter and he actually matches up fairly well against the Brazilian but this fight shouldn’t be even money.
Jason has some questionable losses in his career and Neiman has only fallen to Rory McDonald. Is Jason Jackson on the same level as Rory McDonald? I don’t think so.
Rory is a former title challenger in the UFC and Jackson’s best win is against Benson Henderson, a natural lightweight and even short for that weight class. Jackson is as 170 as they come too, long, lean, fast, and strong with broad shoulders.
If Neiman was a (-170) favorite or more then maybe we look at the underdog here but that’s not the case. The betting odds opened for this fight with Jackson as the (-180) favorite! That’s crazy!
The money, of course, piled in on the dog and now we are even. I think that is ridiculous. We still have value on Gracie here.
Pick: Nieman Gracie
Patricio Pitbull (-250) vs Emmanuel Sanchez (+200)
I should start with the fact that I am on the side of the favorite here and that his moneyline is too expensive. So, what do we do?
Play an over/under or perhaps a method of victory for the defending champion?
Well, these two men fought a couple of years ago and the Brazilian won a unanimous decision. That seems to be the way most people are going for this one. You can still get Pitbull at plus money for a decision win.
This fight is scheduled for 5 rounds, though, and you have to think a gamer with a lot of heart like Sanchez does not want to lose another decision. He wants to at least go out on his shield but then again, he has never done it before.
The man is ultra-durable. It is going to be a sweat but I like Pitbull to win a decision here for (+140).
Pick: Pitbull by Decision (+140)
Bellator is a lot of fun, guys! They can have some seriously bad matchups with betting odds in the boxing ranges of (-1000) or more. These fights are fun because they usually don’t drag on forever and we normally get to see a finish.
The entire card isn’t set up like that for Friday’s Bellator 255, though.
Neiman Gracie and Jason Jackson are now dead even at (-110). It would have been nice to get the submission ace at (+160), my gosh, but that number disappeared as fast as it popped up.
Pitbull will hopefully cruise to a win over Emmanuel Sanchez protecting his body and brain for his likely upcoming bout in the finals of the Featherweight Grand Prix against the outstinkingstanding AJ McKee.
That’s an old Air Force Basic Training word for ya. 20 years later and I can still hear their voices in the night.
I really like our chances with Tyrell Fortune to get the sub. He will probably just pound the guy out but if May has given up subs in the past to lesser grapplers than Fortune, I think he will take that route instead of getting pounded into oblivion.
Get your bets in now and enjoy the fights on Friday night!